So... you'd rather have another bailout, this time of VEBA, or just let VEBA go under, than have the deal structured in this way? GM was a cluster and some deals had to be struck, or it was going down. One more domino in the chain. But they decided to halt the collapse, and giving the UAW a larger stake of GM than they already owned is how it panned out.
How should GM have been saved if not this way? Which alternative would have kept GM alive and yet been more palatable?
Didn't many "experts" believe they should have just been allowed to go into regular bankruptcy and then follow the steps from there? (I'll admit I'm no expert in bankruptcy laws)
There was some thought about that, yes. Kind of like how nature needs a forest fire once in a while to clear out the underbrush - it's a healthy thing.
Some think that TARP only pushed off an inevitable future collapse, and by pushing it off, made it worse when it finally arrives. I think there's some logic to this, and frankly it scares me. My finances aren't in the kind of order I'd like them to be in if something like this goes down.
The economy is a bit like a chemistry project, or baking a
soufflé. There are many, many intricate parts, and mucking around with one could lead to disaster in another. How much did the housing crisis and the lending mistakes of the 1990s lead to 2008? I've seen the trail of bread crumbs.
I'll talk about all this and I'll google up some support for my opinions and all, but I'll also be the first to admit I'm no economist. Frankly, I think it's more political than anything anymore. Obama knew without TARP that he wouldn't get re-elected (or, at least, it wouldn't hurt). The funniest thing about TARP was that it started with Bush, but after the 2008 elections. His party had already lost, so it's not like pushing billions to GM would help the Republicans in the upcoming race - Obama had already won. So Bush shoved money at them through TARP after congress had already said no, and Obama took that ball and ran with it. Bush violated the law to get the money to GM in the first place, and rather than fix the problem (not sure how he could have) Obama doubled down by restructuring the deal, demanding the ouster of GM's president, and making various other stipulations - one of which was to benefit the UAW. Was this politically motivated? Of course - but what move by any president isn't?
So here we are today. "bin Laden is dead and GM is alive!" as the campaign slogans have been running. We needed bin Laden dead - and we got him. It's debatable whether or not we needed GM alive - manufacturers are awfully handy to have around in case the homeland is invaded, after all - but Darwinian business principles definitely weren't observed.