2015 Game 3 “Expert” Picks: Nebraska @ Miami

I'm cautiously optimistic. First road game is always tough. Luckily it won't be too hostile of an environment. Hopefully we can establish the run and Good Tommy shows up. I think that we can stop their run, but we will need to limit the big pass plays.

With the prior regime, I'd be thinking a loss (and probably in a bad way). But with the new guys...

 
Damn, watching the last Miami game, I had a lot of confidence. Their 3-4 D was weak, especially against the competition. I usually blow off these picks, but it's a little too lopsided to ignore. I thought FAU had a chance to keep the game close, but you can't do that with 5 turnovers. In a way, bad teams find a way to lose, and I think that was the case with FAU. Miami did take advantage of those opportunities, so credit Miami for that.

Ultimately, I could see Kaaya getting 400+ yds this game, while also being sacked 4 times and still winning this game. I don't know if we've seen Nebraska "playing bad" yet. Have we seen the worst we can be in that 2nd quarter vs BYU? Or can it get worse? Can we consistently be resilient like we were against BYU, or was that just how that game went?

BTW, what's up with the DN guys? They must have a ban of kool-aid at the DN.

 
If Kaaya gets 400+ yards through the air, then Miami wins this game IMO. I've seen that 400+ number a couple times, to me that seems pretty far fetched. He's averaging something like 230 yards a game through the air now right? Why would he nearly double that on us?

If he does, we lose. I don't see it happening. Our defense is better than that.

I think our offense tears their defense a new a-hole. Armstrong will have a big day.

 
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True2tRA said:
If Kaaya gets 400+ yards through the air, then Miami wins this game IMO. I've seen that 400+ number a couple times,mot me that seems pretty far fetched. he's averaging something like 230 yards a game through the air now right? Why would he nearly double that on us?

If he does, we lose. I don't see it happening. our defense is better than that.

I think our offense tears their defense a new a-hole. Armstrong will have a big day.
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He threw for 360 last year and we won by 10 so does another 40 yards make that much of a difference?

I'm a little puzzled by these experts. Looking at last year's predictions http://www.huskerboard.com/index.php?/topic/71502-game-4-expert-picks-miami-nebraska/?hl=%2Bexpert+%2Bpicks most picked us to win and many by a comfortable margin. Has that much changed in a year? Maybe I'm looking at it from too high of a level. It can't be Miami's record of 6-7 from last year that is impressing them. We lost some stars but they did too. Kaaya is back but so is Tommy. Miami hasn't looked that great in their first 2 wins. We've lost 1 in a last second hail mary. We've changed coaches to one that is well respected in the business. Miami still has Golden. What's important is the final score but these predictions are interesting.

 
BIG ERN said:
Nebraska 35

Miami 27
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Wrong thread, Ern: LINK

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True2tRA said:
If Kaaya gets 400+ yards through the air, then Miami wins this game IMO. I've seen that 400+ number a couple times,mot me that seems pretty far fetched. he's averaging something like 230 yards a game through the air now right? Why would he nearly double that on us?

If he does, we lose. I don't see it happening. our defense is better than that.

I think our offense tears their defense a new a-hole. Armstrong will have a big day.
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I am with you that is just crazy talk. You can't just go by what S. Alabama did to our DB's, and specifically DD and say well they did this so just double that for Miami. S. Alabama knew they were over matched and said what do we do well and where can we try and get some quick scores and big plays. They went with the deep fade basically off of a 3 step drop. They had some success, good for them. Miami is definitely aware of this and will take 2-3 shots at this, but they are not going to build a game plan around trying to hit a low percentage pass to win this game.

Miami is going to play the game they think they need to play to win the game. They will want to be able to run the ball and hit RB out of the backfield. That is going to be their plan. Not just heave it up and hope for the best.

 
Eh, Nebraska has been punishing prognosticators who jump on our bandwagon too early. For several years now.

I think the Huskers have a better than good chance to win, but these predictions are understandable. Our defense remains a crap shoot.

I don't mind being the underdog at all.

 
NUinID said:
True2tRA said:
If Kaaya gets 400+ yards through the air, then Miami wins this game IMO. I've seen that 400+ number a couple times,mot me that seems pretty far fetched. he's averaging something like 230 yards a game through the air now right? Why would he nearly double that on us?

If he does, we lose. I don't see it happening. our defense is better than that.

I think our offense tears their defense a new a-hole. Armstrong will have a big day.
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I am with you that is just crazy talk. You can't just go by what S. Alabama did to our DB's, and specifically DD and say well they did this so just double that for Miami. S. Alabama knew they were over matched and said what do we do well and where can we try and get some quick scores and big plays. They went with the deep fade basically off of a 3 step drop. They had some success, good for them. Miami is definitely aware of this and will take 2-3 shots at this, but they are not going to build a game plan around trying to hit a low percentage pass to win this game.

Miami is going to play the game they think they need to play to win the game. They will want to be able to run the ball and hit RB out of the backfield. That is going to be their plan. Not just heave it up and hope for the best.
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I'm not being too crazy, and it's not like I'm just doubling it because "Kaaya and Miami". I get that they aren't going to throw the fade every down. But that doesn't mean that those 8-10 yard receptions don't add up.

Also, I don't know why it's so implausible considering his numbers last year against the pass stingy Bo D (359 yards, 3 TD's, 2 Ints) and our numbers last week (313 yds, 1 TD, 1 Int.). His longest pass was 32 yards last year, and was still able to get to 359.

Sure his average is low now, but that's because they shutout their first opponent and were given the short field a couple times to allow them to help pad a lead.

 
Guy Chamberlin said:
Eh, Nebraska has been punishing prognosticators who jump on our bandwagon too early. For several years now.

I think the Huskers have a better than good chance to win, but these predictions are understandable. Our defense remains a crap shoot.

I don't mind being the underdog at all.
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I share the exact same sentiment. You want respect? Earn it on the field.

 
I would not be surprised at all if we lose this game, and I don't think y'all should be either. We definitely have the capacity to win, but it would not be that unlikely for us to lose, and the worst times on this board are when we meltdown because we convinced ourselves that we were better than we actually were.

Kaaya is a really good quarterback. Not a Christian Hackenburg "oh he's got potential that hasn't been realized" kind of good, but already a total baller. He threw the ball extremely well on us last year in the most hostile Memorial Stadium environment in years and our nation-leading pass efficiency defense. At home against a more poorly performing secondary, he could have a field day.

If our defense doesn't get good pressure on Kaaya all night, and a few turnovers, I see us in a dogfight that can go either way.

 
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