According to your hypothetical graph that shows positive cases going parabolic, that’s assuming the same rate of testing. Now we are testing exponentially more people whether they are symptomatic or not. In that case the graph should be going EXTREMELY parabolic but it’s not. It’s showing a steady incline despite testing exponentially more people, your hypothetical graph doesn’t account for that l. In my opinion we did flatten the curve, but a graph that doesn’t account for the number of people tested is obviously going to paint a different picture.Do you understand the definition of "flattening the curve"?
This is flattening the curve:
Meanwhile in the US, the curve looks like this:
View attachment 17149
We plateaued and then started up again after Memorial Day and we continue to rise. Note this graph is of Active Cases - meaning Positive Tests - Cases with Resolutions (recovery or death)
As far as no health care systems being overwhelmed, I'm not so sure in the case of New York (City). Anytime you have so many bodies piling up so fast you have to use refrigerated trucks to store all the bodies you have a problem. Unless, that is, one considers it a bonus to have enough people die that hospital beds keep opening up, for the next set of ready to die victims.
And looking at things from the point of each US state being a separate "country" is EXACTLY why we are in such bad shape as a nation - States do not have the right to just close off their borders to all other states (nor would they since they need truck traffic, etc.). With policies that vary radically from state to state, we ended up with a hodge-podge that basically left certain areas doing ok, then getting a delayed explosion in cases. Florida, for example.
This hodge-podge meant that things like sports, happening across all states (football teams are going to have to travel across 1 or more state boundaries for ~1/2 of their games) left the situation very tenuous.
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