Locks of the Weak

JJ Husker said:
IMO baseball and hockey are nothing alike. Maybe just because I win at hockey and lose (lost) my a$$ on baseball. I will not bet on baseball. Period.

Baseball is basically a bunch of teams that are not far removed from .500 records. I have no feel for when any team is going to win or lose. In hockey there are good teams and bad teams and the style mismatches are more obvious. But yeah, it is a tough way to make money when you have to give -145 to -200 odds and foolish to start giving points. I try to stick with sub -175 odds or, if they’re higher and I really like them, I’ll parlay 2 or 3 together. Prop bets are notoriously bad bets but I’ve made a ton of money on player’s shots, goals, and points. I also like win/total combinations. Good way to tilt the odds in your favor.
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With the way baseball is setup and how tanking is prevalent you're going to have a few dreadful teams.  The catch is, to avoid betting those dreadful teams laying high prices, similar to hockey.  They are some maxims you'll see people follow like not betting on Sundays or Thursdays because those are usually 'getaway' days for teams. 

I will gently disagree with you on the prop bet thing.  The main reason why it's beatable is because books have to put together so many prop lines and it's difficult to have each line be razor sharp.  Prop betting can be very lucrative but it's tricky for a few reasons.  One, the lines move quickly so when you see a line that is +EV you need to move quickly.  Two, you gotta have a ton of outs because books will limit you if you show a propensity to win consistently.  I've been pleasantly surprised on the prop market for the NFL this year so far as I've generally been able to get down between $300-$500/prop when I want to bet something without getting push back.  I'm not sure if the hockey market has that same level of liquidity.  Three, you also need to have a ton of outs to line shop and avoid taking bad numbers.

 
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