The 2024 Presidential Election- The LONG General Election

Who will you vote for in November - new ballot:

  • Harris

    Votes: 28 71.8%

  • Trump

    Votes: 3 7.7%

  • Kennedy

    Votes: 5 12.8%

  • Other

    Votes: 3 7.7%
  • Total voters
    39
Was watching some exit poll stuff on CNN and Harris sucks with independent voters, at least in Georgia. It completely inverted from what it was with Biden and Trump.

 
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Harris is underperforming Biden by 0.5 points in cumulative tallies so far. Not really telling, other than that she'll probably win the popular vote.

 
teachercd said:
It appears that Harris NOT going on Joe Rogan has hurt her with voters.  Interesting. 
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Raw-dogging a 3 hour podcast should be the standard going forward.   Debates are useless in comparison.  At least when it comes to seeing what a person is actually like.

 
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Trump is doing great in Florida. He's only 5,000 votes short of his 2020 numbers in Palm Beach with 81% of the vote in. Meanwhile Harris is 94,000 votes short. Dunno which parts haven't turned their votes in though.

 
I wish some website would just have live tracking of every county in the country of:

Harris % - Trump % - reported %

Biden % - Trump % 2020

Then a column of the loss/gain for each county.

But I honestly don't know who has access to the results this way. I literally just learned that it's the AP who tabulates the results and don't know who all they report it to right away.

 
Moiraine said:
I wish some website would just have live tracking of every county in the country of:

Harris % - Trump % - reported %

Biden % - Trump % 2020

Then a column of the loss/gain for each county.

But I honestly don't know who has access to the results this way. I literally just learned that it's the AP who tabulates the results and don't know who all they report it to right away.
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Yeah, none of the machines are "hooked up" to the internet so we don't really get all the info we could...

It actually is kind of amazing they get what they do as fast as they do.

 
teachercd said:
Trump -235!

Lots of bets coming in for trump right now.
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Yup, Trump going to win tonight.

Moiraine said:
I wish some website would just have live tracking of every county in the country of:

Harris % - Trump % - reported %

Biden % - Trump % 2020

Then a column of the loss/gain for each county.

But I honestly don't know who has access to the results this way. I literally just learned that it's the AP who tabulates the results and don't know who all they report it to right away.
Click to expand...
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html

You can get sort of live forecasts for the election results. While it's early, trends are showing a heavy shift towards Trump in nearly all areas - rural counties, suburbs, and Harris margin in cities isn't enough.

The lesson of this election is that: nothing a candidate says or does matters, canvasing or outspending your opponent doesn't matter. What mattered was being the party in power during inflation and voters were upset about it. Incumbent governments lost in every election in western countries all over. The only governments that were in power during inflation that haven't had elections are Germany, where the incumbent government is extremely unpopular, Canada where the incumbent government is EXTREMELY unpopular, and up until the United States.

The elections in the US will end up the closest, but it won't be enough. 

 
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