HuskerBoard

https://www.google.com/amp/s/finance.yahoo.com/amphtml/news/hell-coming-mathematical-proof-185019616.html

I think we are at 933 tonight, so that is 133 above 800 projection.

20,000 by mid April?  

If that holds true...a 3rd party candidate will win.

@teachercd, that's nothing.  We are talking 1.8 to 2 million, which is equivalent to the Spanish Flu of 1918. 

Wonder if there are odds.

Ended day at 1027 with one full day to go.  So, much steeper trajectory currently then model.

They're literally still increasing at an exponential rate...

He makes some assumption in his analysis which makes me question his reasoning. First he says: "For the sake of argument, I am going to assume that all 205 American deaths occurred on March 19th and all of these people were infected on February 25th ".    Then he says: "The number of infected people doubles every 3 days".  (If you're going to assume infections double every three days, then lumping the cumulative number of deaths together on one day would be wildly inaccurate.)  Then again I'm not a mathematician.  :shrug:

@NUance, no debate from me.  Additionally, I'm not going to jump into any political football game of debate. 

I'm simply following it like it's another B1G team that I'm curious to follow ... and that is because I don't understand all the fear.

Here is the really good news ... America survived the Spanish Flu just find, even amidst its difficulties and World War I.  I'm sure many doomsday folks were swarming back then as well.  Life will go on and America will find it's way ... and I will find my way [regardless of what I believe about it], adapt and grow.

Pass

@NUance, here is how I'm looking at it ... it looks like the percentages work where of those tested, it runs at around .08% of those infected die, or 1/125.  So, if 10,000 are tested, 125 die.  

The political football is that we are not testing enough, so, if the number/percentages run higher, to me, it means more people died due to lack of testing to not catch it early enough.

In the end, it will be the late catchers, when all the hospital beds and ventilators are taken and folks cant get the needed help to ensure the symptoms, that will propel the numbers higher.

We shall see.  At this point, I simply cannot believe that we will see 1.8 to 2 million deaths ... can't see it ... just like I can't see us going 7-5 this season [if it happens].

@BigRedN Agreed.  The people who will die will likely be those who catch it late and are elderly or have compromised immune systems.