HuskerBoard

NUance

There are so many wildly differing estimates on the impact of Covid-19. It's hard to know what's accurate.

My wild assed guess is that the toll will end up somewhere under a million deaths. Say, 850,000 or so.

BigRedBuster

It's impossible for me to even guess right now. There's new information out that indicates that the death toll in heavy hit areas are understated due to healthcare workers being over whelmed to the point that testing deceased patients isn't getting done and recording those deaths isn't getting done.

My guess is that the total death toll will be 100,000+ when it's all said and done.

Toe

There are so many wildly differing estimates on the impact of Covid-19. It's hard to know what's accurate.

That's what happens when your government completely, utterly, and spectacularly botches their testing plan/program. Everybody has been flying blind because nobody really knew (and still don't really know) just how many infections there are.

Why nobody knows how many Americans have the coronavirus

RedDenver

There's tons and tons of variables and many of those are changing. Like how many people are actually practicing social distancing and how effective is social distancing. Different regions will be hit differently based on population density, age distribution of the population, healthcare quality and quantity, and how many people require hospital care simultaneously.

Based on how unprepared the US is for a pandemic and the slow, bumbling response, I think the Imperial College report is probably going to end up being the optimistic case:

Imperial College Epidemiologists Report Forecasts Up To 2.2 Million COVID-19 Deaths In US, 510,000 In UK