I made the assumption that she will hold Pa - thus my vote for Cooper. I may be overconfident in that assumption however. If it is squeaky close, then Shapiro is the right choice and a NC win is just a cherry on top.It'll almost certainly be Shapiro. I saw today that Harris can win without Arizona, but she cannot win without Pennsylvania.
Why would his reasoning be waiting for 2028? Is he expecting Kamala to lose in 2024? Or is he expecting Kamala to win and just be awful as a President and run against her when she would be an incumbent?Also, I just learned that the 12th Amendment pretty much precludes Newsom from filling the VP role in this instance (plus I think he's saving himself for a presidential run in 2028
I probably should have said 2028/2032. If Harris wins and doesn't seek reelection, then Newsom throws his name in the hat in 2028. If Harris wins and does seek reelection, then Newsom waits until 2032.Why would his reasoning be waiting for 2028? Is he expecting Kamala to lose in 2024? Or is he expecting Kamala to win and just be awful as a President and run against her when she would be an incumbent?
I think there were a lot of Dems caught flatfooted here. If Biden had said in Oct of last year, that he was going to be that promised transitional President and serve only one term, then I think we would have seen Whitmer, Newsom and several others on this list running and vetting themselves in a full primary season. Now, I think some are wondering if their opportunity is 8 years away -- my pure speculation based on nothing but trying to put myself in their shoes. If Harris wins and does well -then she has the power of the incumbent. If she wins now and does terrible - most likely she runs again and will be running against a charged up GOP voting block after 8 years of Biden/Harris. Not sure Newsom, etc want to be the sacrificial lamb during 2028 if Harris governs poorly. It might be like Ted Kennedy running against Carter in 1980.Why would his reasoning be waiting for 2028? Is he expecting Kamala to lose in 2024? Or is he expecting Kamala to win and just be awful as a President and run against her when she would be an incumbent?
Strategically, I prefer Shapiro or Cooper. Personally, I prefer Buttigieg, so I voted for him.
Also, I just learned that the 12th Amendment pretty much precludes Newsom from filling the VP role in this instance (plus I think he's saving himself for a presidential run in 2028). It states that the presidential and vice-presidential candidate on the same ticket can't both reside in the same state as where the electors reside. Well, they can technically, but it would null and void the electoral votes from that state. And the D's definitely can't afford that net -54 in their vote column.
https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/amendment-12/
I don't know for sure, but I'm thinking it has to be related to that.Was this rule created in the 18th century because the states rights people didn’t want one of the states’ perspectives to dominate?
I can’t think of any other logic.
Ok. GotchaI probably should have said 2028/2032. If Harris wins and doesn't seek reelection, then Newsom throws his name in the hat in 2028. If Harris wins and does seek reelection, then Newsom waits until 2032.