I remember Riley saying their strategy for recruiting a QB in 2016 will be to make a single offer to their top guy and go full-court press for his commitment. If that offer does not pan out, then they will make three offers to their second tier group and let the prospects know it will be first come, first serve. If this is their strategy playing out, does that mean Peters is their #1 Overall QB recruit (not Guarantano), and prospects like Zeb Noland are making up the second tier?
I guess I don't follow you. Guarantano already had an offer from the previous staff and it was pretty widely speculated that's who Langsdorf was in New Jersey visiting in January. Thus, we wouldn't necessarily have seen a new offer announcement from Guarantano because he already had an offer. But there were several reports that Langsdorf was interested in him. So that would fit your description that it didn't work out with our #1 target so now we're moving on to the next set.
I know Guarantano was receiving attention from Langsdorf, but Peters has been the only QB offer this staff has made, as you mentioned Guarantano's offer came from the old staff. Guarantano could have been there #1 QB recruit but that ship sailed, so they are moving to their second tier guys already. However, without additional offers, it makes me wonder if Peters is their #1 overall who they think they can land, and Guarantano could have been but never showed enough interest for them to heavily pursue. Maybe it is a 1A vs 1B type of situation, with Peters being the only one of the two that should interest removing Guarantano from the conversation.