The "Suuuuuuuuuuh" Thread

Denver could use him...
Ah....I see it now. Get rid of Knighton and J Thomas so they can sign Suh.

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Lions' website reports team won't franchise Suh
By NOAH TRISTER (AP Sports Writer) 1 hour ago AP - Sports

DETROIT (AP) -- Ndamukong Suh can test the open market when free agency begins March 10 after the Lions decided not to use the franchise tag on the star defensive tackle, according to a report on the team's website.
LINK

Looks like we'll get to see Suh on a different team. I hope he goes a decent team where there's a chance for postseason play. Love to see Suh in the Superbowl.
sounds like Detroit had enough of him.......you don't normally let guys like him walk.

 
Lions' website reports team won't franchise Suh
By NOAH TRISTER (AP Sports Writer) 1 hour ago AP - Sports

DETROIT (AP) -- Ndamukong Suh can test the open market when free agency begins March 10 after the Lions decided not to use the franchise tag on the star defensive tackle, according to a report on the team's website.
LINK

Looks like we'll get to see Suh on a different team. I hope he goes a decent team where there's a chance for postseason play. Love to see Suh in the Superbowl.
sounds like Detroit had enough of him.......you don't normally let guys like him walk.
Signing Suh would take most of the Lions' cap space. Maybe they want to sign the guys they drafted instead, and then possibly pick up a cheaper veteran d-lineman in free agency.
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The Lions screwed up with their contract for Suh and are now in a position where it is impossible cap-wise to tag him. This has been noted to be in the offing for months now, as was Suh's looming free agency departure (they won't have the cap to re-sign him, either) so it isn't a deadline surprise.

 
The Lions screwed up with their contract for Suh and are now in a position where it is impossible cap-wise to tag him. This has been noted to be in the offing for months now, as was Suh's looming free agency departure (they won't have the cap to re-sign him, either) so it isn't a deadline surprise.
Yeah, I can't remember the details now but his previous contract sounds like a disaster from the team's side. Something about he is still counting against their cap even if he isn't there so if he did resign at something like $26M per it would actually be counting $30M+ per because of how the old contract worked. Basically impossible to keep him when they already have huge money tied up in Stafford and Johnson.

 
OK. Apparently I didn't remember that quite correctly but the numbers were close. But it did have to do with how he restructured his previous contract.

RE: Using the Franchise Tag

The biggest problem is that it would guarantee only one more year of service from Suh. At $26.8 million for 2015, the only way to keep Suh off the market in 2016 would be to pay him 20 percent more than $26.8 million. That’s $32.16 million.

Our friend Dave Birkett of the Detroit Free Press argues that the Lions nevertheless should tag Suh and then try to sign him to a long-term deal. However, guaranteeing Suh $26.8 million for 2015 and setting him up for $32.16 million in 2016 makes the logical starting point for any negotiation on a long-term deal $58.96 million fully guaranteed for the first two years.
Link

 
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I think about any team would want to get him just in self-defense. Packer fans whine about him enough now. If he went to the Bears, it'd be insufferable around here.

 
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NFL FREE AGENCY 2:38 PM MAR 11, 2015
Ndamukong Suh Is Cursed By BENJAMIN MORRIS

With one splashy signing, the Miami Dolphins became nominal winners of one of the most anticipated bidding contests in the history of NFL free agency (for a non-quarterback). Their prize: The Detroit Lions’ three-time first-team All-Pro defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh — and $114 million in contract liability. Of that, $60 million is guaranteed, a non-QB record.

While big-time free agent signings are exciting, they don’t often end well.1 Players frequently regress to the mean or turn out to be less valuable in new circumstances. But even if Suh turns out to be as good in Miami as he has seemed to be in Detroit — which is far from certain — it’s unclear whether this could ever be a good deal for the Dolphins. With both a hard salary cap and salary floor, an NFL team doesn’t win by paying players exactly what they’re worth — it wins by paying them far less than they’re worth.
LINK
Pretty good discussion of whether Miami overpaid for Suh, or not.



 
Why are they graphing guaranteed money of the total deal as a % of a single year's salary cap?

$60M demonstrates a significant long term commitment to Suh, but that is spread out over multiple years. The guys who have much less guaranteed money - that is to say, everybody - probably do not have something like, "The first three years of this contract's salaries are fully guaranteed." So that doesn't mean they are that much less onerous against the cap; it simply means their teams have an easier path to cut them -- or say, decline an option if they decide after a couple years that the guy isn't a $10M player anymore. And I am not sure, but perhaps these fully guaranteed years are more of a recent trend in NFL contracts?

As a percentage of the cap, Suh's year 1 cap hit is probably still unprecedented. I don't expect (hope!) the Dolphins will become great as a result of this deal, but then again, I don't think they were going to get there without it, either.

 
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I don't expect (hope!) the Dolphins will become great as a result of this deal, but then again, I don't think they were going to get there without it, either.
Yeah, I thought this was a good quote from the article:

an NFL team doesn’t win by paying players exactly what they’re worth — it wins by paying them far less than they’re worth.

Bill Belichick agrees with this.

 
Bill Belichick agrees with this.
I agree, with the caveat that he'll pay players when he has to. I think it's a mix of being astute about value, and taking risks that sometimes result in guys being overpaid (Adalius Thomas comes to mind).

Updating because there are now details of Suh's contract. Pretty incredible.

Suh is going to count $6.1M against the Dolphins' salary cap this year. For comparison, Darrelle Revis counted $12M against the Patriots' salary cap last year. But Suh will count $28.6M against the cap in 2016, and all of that is fully guaranteed. Except for a $15,000 workout bonus...ha!

Given the salary cap increases since 2012, though, it does not really seem like a bigger deal than Calvin Johnson's 2012 contract. Then again, how well have the Lions done since then?

 
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