What would a 6 win season mean for you then?
I hope that doesn’t come off as an attack, I’m honestly asking and I’m not looking for a right answer or anything. I have predicted what feels like (in my mind) a very safe 7 win season. I can definitely see a path to 8 or 9, mostly because I think the OLine will be far better, but I can also see us struggling and only winning 5-6. Would 5-6 wins put some assistants on a relatively hot seat for you?
It would mean a disapointment. If this staff is as advertised 7 wins should be the expected floor:
Nebraska should be 3-0 in the non con.
Nebraska should be expected to win against Purdue, Minnesota and Illinois.
Those are six games at home where Nebraska is the most talented team. You lose any of those you screwed up or just flat out didn't show up... like the last few staffs have shown.
Nebraska should also win at Norhwestern. A virtual home game at 11am (the least intimidating road game you can get) who Nebraska is more talented than.
MSU at home, Iowa on the road and Michigan on the road are the tossups. You can win these, but it wouldn't be an indictment to lose all 3.. as long as the MOV's are reasonable.
(Michigan is a tossup even though its a road game vs a better opponent because it's Frost's first Big Ten game and the first road game - that actually tends to bode well as motivation.)
Wisconsin and Ohio State on the road... win one of those - throw a party.
New schemes, new staff, new whatever, That is seven wins you should have. You lose any of those 7 and it's a disapointment. You lose one or two of those 7 AND get no upset? Big disapointment. Iowa and MSU expecially are winnable toss/upsets.
As for hotseat questions that quick?
If certain units don't perform AND they are a 6 win team or ...worse? Yeah it's a potential hotseat for some guys and year 2 is a prove it year.
Frost may be one of ours but if one of his assistants turns out to be Banker or Diaco or Cavenaugh or even just Bruce Read or Hank Hughes 2.0 does he get a pass because it's Frost? ... dear god that staff sucked...
No.
Mike Riley and his staff sucked, but just because that staff took a 9 win team and won 4 games, doesn't mean we should give Frost a pass for taking a similar team (granted with a tougher schedule) and winning 6. Even if it's year 1. Just like it wouldn't have been ok for Pelini to win 6-7 games in his first year simply because Callahan only won 5 the year before. Or ok for Riley to only win 6 his first year even though the previous year they won 9. The expectations for both were what the expectations are at Nebraska, regardless of what the last guy did.
That said, I fully expect this staff will achieve a 9 win season (8 pre bowl game). With significant elevation instead of a cliffdive to follow. This looks to be a MUCH better staff.
We win the 7 I said we should and score 1 upset.