Probably not playing this fall but should we, the O line should be about middle of Big ten level (top 40 nationally or so). QB BETTER be top 15 nationally or Adrian is #2. And WRs, RBs - middle of Big Ten and top 25 or so. TEs similar.
Get average STs and top 35 defense = top 30ish team. That is atleast 7-5 or 8-4 even with big ten slate like ours.
A similar way I was thinking about this the other day is for each position, what is the starter's ceiling? Obviously that's a little subjective, and can change - nobody would've pegged Abdullah as an all-american coming in. But based on performance and some of their recruiting rankings, I think we can see that for quite a few players. This also wouldn't be the 99th percentile outcome for the ceiling (most players
could turn out to be incredible), but something like 90th. The way I see it, ceilings for the offense are something like this:
Martinez - All-American
Mills - All-Conference
Wan'Dale - All-American
Manning - too early to say, potentially All-American type talent but lets say All-Conference because we really don't know much
Warner - Decent starter
Stoll/Allen - Decent Starters
Jaimes - All-Conference
Farniok - Decent starter (
maybe All-Conference at Guard, but that's probably a stretch)
Jurgens - All-Conference
Wilson - Decent Starter
Benhart - All-Conference
Again, not to say they are playing at or will reach those levels. And guys can outperform these, but this is how I see their realistic ceilings. Still a lot of guys starting who probably won't come close to even 3rd team All-Conference, which isn't where we want to be. But even by next year, I expect every starter to be talented enough to think about them being All-Conference players.
40th nationally in terms of overall quality of play? No possible chance, sir. No way.
Probably difficult to attain even next year.
I don't think 40th is too much of a stretch, top third nationally? We've got the experience and by end of last year I'd say we were close to that level on the OLine. And I expect them to be better this year.