The 2020 Presidential Election - Convention & General Election

Notre Dame Joe said:
IT's quite irrelevant. Barack Obama would have been a great neighbor and school teacher, who should never have been more than a state legislature. 
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You don't think the first black president of the Harvard Law Review -- and one of the youngest -- would warrant the ambition and consideration for higher office? 

Assume you meant "legislator" rather than "legislature."  Either way, you're being silly. 

 
Watched a webinar today put on by a large investment company. They had a political analyst from a large fund company break down the election and the effects different results might have on the markets. It was interesting but what I found really interesting was her detailed analysis of current polling and likely winners. Biden is in tremendously better shape than Hillary was on 2016. This election has almost zero chance of going Trumps way. In 2016 there were many more undecideds, 3rd party candidates and antiestablishment sentiments that do not fall in favor of Trump in 2020. People are pretty much decided, there are no strong 3rd party candidates and any antiestablishment sentiment is against the incumbent this time.

Six swing states will decide this election; Arizona, Florida, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania. (I think I remembered the correct 6?) Biden is currently leading in all of them. 3 are close (less than 2 points) and 3 aren’t. You politicos already know this. But what I found most interesting was that all of these states also have a very good chance of the repubs losing a Senate seat. The thought is the down tickets will likely go the same way as the Presidential results. We could easily see the WH go to Biden and the Senate will definitely tighten up and may even also change to dem. The dems are in no danger of losing the House. The expectation is that the Senate will end up only 1 vote one way or the other. Normally having a power split is generally a good thing, especially for the markets, but considering what repubs have been doing, this election may provide some much needed change.

Edit- Yes @teachercd this means you should bet on Biden  :lol:

 
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Nate Silver was lambasted for saying Hilary was 'only' a 2:1 favorite when everyone else thought she was a lock.  FWIW he puts the Miami Heat as 3:1 to win the NBA finals. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predictions/

It's being tossed around that Trump thinks this is a Turn out your base type of election, implying don't waste resources looking for 'undecided' voters. Thus his tactics at the debate were designed to energize his fans. 

 
Suggestion for those of you who may want to watch the next debate.

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Notre Dame Joe said:
Nate Silver was lambasted for saying Hilary was 'only' a 2:1 favorite when everyone else thought she was a lock.  FWIW he puts the Miami Heat as 3:1 to win the NBA finals. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predictions/

It's being tossed around that Trump thinks this is a Turn out your base type of election, implying don't waste resources looking for 'undecided' voters. Thus his tactics at the debate were designed to energize his fans. 
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Bullies, racists, and the willfully ignorant? 

 
Plausible theory from the adult stutterer community.  Apparently there are well known triggers for stutterers, even in adulthood when they've generally overcome the condition. Although Trump's behavior wasn't exactly out of character, his aggressiveness, interrupting and repetitive personal attacks would qualify as strategic for someone who wanted to induce stuttering in an opponent, a great way to make him look weak and indecisive, or to conflate into dementia. 

Who knows. Trump's a s#!theel regardless. And Joe really doesn't know how to fight back. 

 
 biden played trump like a fiddle.   he got trump so worked up and had him raging like a lunatic all night.   call trump a clown and watch him get red faced and fly off the handle in 3 different directions.   say his handling of corona was dismal and watch trump lose his temper and rage  off in another 3 directions.   trump was a raging fool all night long and joe was laughing at trump most of the time. 

and the best part is....the trumpers think trump was great.   lol.   

 
commando said:
 biden played trump like a fiddle.   he got trump so worked up and had him raging like a lunatic all night.   call trump a clown and watch him get red faced and fly off the handle in 3 different directions.   say his handling of corona was dismal and watch trump lose his temper and rage  off in another 3 directions.   trump was a raging fool all night long and joe was laughing at trump most of the time. 

and the best part is....the trumpers think trump was great.   lol.   
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The Proud Boys moment was a virtuoso play by Biden. Trump was like, "uhhhh... sure. sure."

Joe had him tuned like a Stradivarius.

 
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