Please explain your thoughts on this more
Just the idea that every year we see “high-profile” jobs opening up. As these jobs open up, ADs will have more data to review on young coaches to determine if they are true program builders vs catching lightening in a bottle. I’m specifically talking about Campbell, Fickell, Kiffin.
Matt Campbell - Been on the rise, so how does he bounce back after a down year? Losing some key pieces, how has he positioned the team for the next run of success?
Luke Fickell - how does he handle not having his QB return (Desmond Ridder) / can he recruit depth necessary to build and sustain a program. Reached the top, damn near CFP, but how does he sustain it? — Think CP at Boise State
Lane Kiffin - again, how does he handle the program building that is necessary when you lose top talent (Matt Corral at QB), has he really matured, etc.
I believe two things can be true at the same time.. 1. Coaches are becoming more picky when they make the jump to the high-profile jobs.. (See Napier passing last year on Auburn, South Carolina, etc) and 2. At the same time, programs are becoming more cautious at taking a swing and miss too soon on up and coming coaches.
I am of the belief that the landscape of hiring coaches is changing. To lock in coaches, we are seeing longer (and bigger) deals so these high-profile openings will want to see a proven track record of growth, success, and SUSTAINABILITY within the programs these younger coaches are building. It’s why we see programs starting to throw massive extensions at current coaches or massive money (Jimbo at Texas AM, reported offers to Riley by LSU, etc) to proven coaches.