Does NU have a chance in the B1G West?

But it would be pretty interesting to look at the standings.  The team that lost the CCG (12-1 Ohio State or Michigan) or a team that didn't even make the CCG (11-1 Ohio State or Michigan) would still have a pretty good chance to get in.  And be ranked 10 spots ahead of the team that won the conference.

 
Connelly expands on Nebraska's chances:


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Red Five said:
After Week 8.  SP+ wasn't a fan of the performance vs NW.

Nebraska #61 in SP+ / #67 in FPI

Minnesota #59 / #59
Colorado #77 / #74
N. Illinois #102 / #95
Louisiana Tech #108 / #114
Michigan #1 / #2
Illinois #62 / #66
North­western #93 / #88
Purdue #76 / #63
Michigan St #69  / #75

Maryland #32 / #29
Wisconsin #28 / #28
Iowa #37 / #38
Click to expand...


After week 9.  Moved up in both.

Nebraska #51 in SP+ / #61 in FPI

Minnesota #49 / #53
Colorado #77 / #74
N. Illinois #98 / #96
Louisiana Tech #105 / #110
Michigan #1 / #2
Illinois #62 / #68
North­western #92 / #82
Purdue #82 / #73
Michigan St #74  / #77

Maryland #31 / #32
Wisconsin #27 / #29
Iowa #36 / #39

 
Red Five said:
FPI Chance to win the West after week 8:

Iowa 44.4%

Wisconsin 43.5%

Minnesota 6.8%

Nebraska 4.7%

Northwestern 0.3%

Illinois 0.2%

Purdue 0.2%
Click to expand...


FPI Chance to win the West after week 9:

Iowa 41.2%

Wisconsin 37.2%

Minnesota 11.9%

Nebraska 8.6%

Northwestern 1.1%

Illinois 0.1%

Purdue 0.0%

 
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Red Five said:
B1G West.  Home of the worst offenses in the P5

#81 Illinois 5.49 ypp

#83 Wisconsin 5.44 ypp

#89 Nebraska 5.38 ypp

#101 Purdue 5.12 ypp

#125 Minnesota 4.69 ypp

#127 Northwestern 4.54 ypp

#131 Iowa 4.12 ypp (there are 133 D1 teams, the bottom 2 are tied at 4.11 ypp)

And I think we should crown 4/7 of the B1G East as honorary West members this year:

#96 Penn St

#99 Rutgers

#116 Mich St

#119 Indiana
Click to expand...


B1G West.  Home of the worst offenses in the P5

#80 Illinois 5.49 ypp

#90 Nebraska 5.30 ypp

#92 Wisconsin 5.28 ypp

#117 Purdue 4.90 ypp

#121 Minnesota 4.81 ypp

#125 Northwestern 4.69 ypp

#132 Iowa 4.12 ypp (there are 133 D1 teams, the last is at 4.11 ypp)

And I think we should crown 4/7 of the B1G East as honorary West members this year:

#96 Penn St

#97 Rutgers

#111 Indiana

#112 Mich St

 
Red Five said:
B1G West.  Home of the worst offenses in the P5

#80 Illinois 5.49 ypp

#90 Nebraska 5.30 ypp

#92 Wisconsin 5.28 ypp

#117 Purdue 4.90 ypp

#121 Minnesota 4.81 ypp

#125 Northwestern 4.69 ypp

#132 Iowa 4.12 ypp (there are 133 D1 teams, the last is at 4.11 ypp)

And I think we should crown 4/7 of the B1G East as honorary West members this year:

#96 Penn St

#97 Rutgers

#111 Indiana

#112 Mich St
Click to expand...


Wow.  I hadn't noticed that Penn State was that bad on offense this year.

 
Red Five said:
FPI Chance to win the West after week 9:

Iowa 41.2%

Wisconsin 37.2%

Minnesota 11.9%

Nebraska 8.6%

Northwestern 1.1%

Illinois 0.1%

Purdue 0.0%
Click to expand...
I'd be really interested in knowing how they figure this.  Not disagreeing with it.  Just, interested in it.

Minnesota plays OSU and Wisconsin. I'm guessing the difference is that they beat us head to head and our records are the same right now.  We obviously still play Iowa and Wisconsin.

I still feel that if we keep winning against all these teams that are very beatable, we are sitting pretty good.

 
BigRedBuster said:
I'd be really interested in knowing how they figure this.  Not disagreeing with it.  Just, interested in it.

Minnesota plays OSU and Wisconsin. I'm guessing the difference is that they beat us head to head and our records are the same right now.  We obviously still play Iowa and Wisconsin.

I still feel that if we keep winning against all these teams that are very beatable, we are sitting pretty good.
Click to expand...


Minnesota also has the tie-breaker against the "best" of the teams currently tied, Iowa. Kinda surprised Wisconsin's odds are that high, their remaining schedule is comparable to Iowa's and they lost the head to head. 

 
BigRedBuster said:
I'd be really interested in knowing how they figure this.  Not disagreeing with it.  Just, interested in it.

Minnesota plays OSU and Wisconsin. I'm guessing the difference is that they beat us head to head and our records are the same right now.  We obviously still play Iowa and Wisconsin.

I still feel that if we keep winning against all these teams that are very beatable, we are sitting pretty good.
Click to expand...


I presume they are taking each game and assigning a likelihood that each team wins that game based on their relative rating.  Smash all that together and you you get the chances each team finishes with the best record.

Minnesota is a little odd.  But I wonder if they get the tie-breaker over us on head-to-head.

 
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