2024 Transfer Portal Ins/Outs

I would add to that, let me know when we get an incoming class that actually develops into greater than 50% solid contributors instead of our usual 23% hit rate.
I don’t believe we will ever be averaging 50% of every class being major contributors. I don’t think anyone actually does that. 
 

What we need is for the ones that end up playing a lot, to be contributing at a much higher quality level. 

 
If you go to ON3 team transfer rankings Nebraska is ranked 40th compared to 247's 5th.  That is a huge discrepancy.
On3 takes into account all the departures too. That hurts our ranking bc we have a ton of players transferring out bc we carried such a large roster and have to get down to 105. We have brought in high quality players, but have lost of ton of average to below average players. 

 
Wake me up when that average rating score looks like Oregon's. The high ranking is mostly just from quantity; the quality is about the same as we've had for the last 20 years.
We also have a P/LS which drags down ratings. 

 
Rhule now saying he's looking at 65-75% of roster additions to come from high school.  

Since Rhule got here, it's been (not counting walk-ons):

2023 - 69%

2024 - 81%

2025 - 55%

 
Rhule now saying he's looking at 65-75% of roster additions to come from high school.  

Since Rhule got here, it's been (not counting walk-ons):

2023 - 69%

2024 - 81%

2025 - 55%
So an average of 16-18 high school recruits per year. That a whole lot less opportunity to play FBS unfortunately. Hopefully it means the FCS, DII, etc. will experience better talent, but also results in thousands of players no longer being able to play college football.

 
So an average of 16-18 high school recruits per year. That a whole lot less opportunity to play FBS unfortunately.


Way more than that. Each class is going to be larger to account for portal attrition. And remember, the total roster size is decreasing, but the number of scholarships is increasing. There will be whole lot more opportunities to get a scholarship to an FBS school. 

The walk-ons are affected, yes, but a lot of them will have G5-level scholarship opportunities that they wouldn't have had before. And the ones who prove themselves at G5 level will have upward portal opportunities, akin to the way the best walk-ons used to be given scholarships (albeit at a new school instead of their current one).

 
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Way more than that. Each class is going to be larger to account for portal attrition. And remember, the total roster size is decreasing, but the number of scholarships is increasing. There will be whole lot more opportunities to get a scholarship to an FBS school. 

The walk-ons are affected, yes, but a lot of them will have G5-level scholarship opportunities that they wouldn't have had before. And the ones who prove themselves at G5 level will have upward portal opportunities, akin to the way the best walk-ons used to be given scholarships (albeit at a new school instead of their current one).
You are conflating things a bit here. Yes, there will be more scholarships to go around in the FBS. Also yes, there will be a lot fewer players in college football. Nebraska is 'cutting' ~50 from this past year. Many of these players could go on to play on a G5 level team which is great. However, most of those players would be then taking the roster spot already occupied which pushes that G5 player down to an FCS level, DII, DIII, etc. At some point, hundreds (thousand?) of players find themselves without a roster spot and no longer play the sport. 

This year we added 16 transfers along with a HS class of 20. That is just under 35% of our roster next season will be new guys. Assuming the general outcome is roster attrition of ~25-30 guys per year, how many spots does a staff reserve each year for 17-19 year old freshmen, many of whom won't contribute for at least a year? I suspect we would likely max out at around 20 HS players in any given year though that can fluctuate. Due to the money being tossed around and our recent successes with transfers, I think we are more likely go after the known commodity, mercenary types (Spindler, McCullogh) than the projects (Knutson & Peters as an example).

 
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