Depends. Are we going to be open for business as usual by Easter? We are only 1 to 4 more stupid decisions or lack of actions from seeing the death toll double or triple or quadruple or......
I'm gonna guess about the same amount of abortions every year ... which is 500,000 - 600,000 ... give or take. The "way out there" folks seem to say around two [2] million or worse. I like the numbers some of you guys said ... 20,000 or 100,000. I'd take either of those numbers ... given what the media is telling me. Then you get statements like what @JJ Husker just said, which means that we are gonna see perhaps double, triple or quadruple ... so what is your number JJ? Are you saying that we might see 4, 8 or 16 million people die [off the 2 million these polls and media are stating]?
@Redux, there was around 14,000 new cases today alone, we now lead the world with most cases with around 82,000. The charts seem to say that around 1% will die of cases filed.
I think people need to prepare for much worse than 20k deaths. US is already at 1295 deaths and based on the current trend will surpass 20k deaths in about 12 days.
I'm not sure what you think is going to suddenly happen, but people already have it and are dying from it for several months now and there's nothing to slow it down.
I think that makes it more likely that they will find something to slow it down. Think how many times they have tried and failed...eventually you get to the point where you find something that slows it down. That is the great think about science (and bad sex) even a failed experiment teaches you something.
The upward curve of cases was greatly influenced by the testing numbers going from basically null to full gear. I don't think we will see THAT many in 12 days. I'd expect more like less than half that. I hope much much less.
I guess it all depends upon what percentage of our population gets infected. And how quickly it happens. But even in the rosiest of scenarios I'm thinking estimates under 50k are low. I'll be surprised if fewer than 250,000 die from Covid-019. Death rates are running somewhere around 0.5%. Maybe higher. If one sixth of the U.S. population gets infected that'd be 250k deaths. I guess it could be fewer if the virus is slowed to the point where we're able to treat the weakest ones who are most vulnerable to the virus' symptoms.
That is why I said "per capita". It's really the only way to effectively compare our testing and thus our infected numbers to what has occured elsewhere in the world. Unfortunately we started too late and still aren't near the levels we should be. Makes it that much more difficult to ascertain where we're really at.