HuskerBoard

JJ Husker
JJ Husker
Depends. Are we going to be open for business as usual by Easter? We are only 1 to 4 more stupid decisions or lack of actions from seeing the death toll double or triple or quadruple or......

teachercd
teachercd
I feel like in the end, it will be lots of infected people by way less deaths.  I will say under 20,000.

N
NoLongerN
I'm gonna guess about the same amount of abortions every year ... which is 500,000 - 600,000 ... give or take.  The "way out there" folks seem to say around two [2] million or worse.  I like the numbers some of you guys said ... 20,000 or 100,000.  I'd take either of those numbers ... given what the media is telling me.  Then you get statements like what @JJ Husker just said, which means that we are gonna see perhaps double, triple or quadruple ... so what is your number JJ?  Are you saying that we might see 4, 8 or 16 million people die [off the 2 million these polls and media are stating]?

teachercd
teachercd
I think they will find some stuff to combat it once you have it...that is my hope

Redux
Redux
Hoping 5k or under, but that would mean we express lane found a way to treat it.  Realistically, I think this is just life now for some time to come.

N
NoLongerN
@Redux, there was around 14,000 new cases today alone, we now lead the world with most cases with around 82,000.  The charts seem to say that around 1% will die of cases filed.  

Redux
Redux
Realistically, I expect more like 15-20k unfortunately 

RedDenver
RedDenver
I think people need to prepare for much worse than 20k deaths. US is already at 1295 deaths and based on the current trend will surpass 20k deaths in about 12 days.

teachercd
teachercd
I think you will see ways to slow it down in people who have it...

From there, the deaths will go down...

In 12 days...I bet the deaths are well under 6,000 in the US

RedDenver
RedDenver
I'm not sure what you think is going to suddenly happen, but people already have it and are dying from it for several months now and there's nothing to slow it down.

teachercd
teachercd
I think that makes it more likely that they will find something to slow it down.  Think how many times they have tried and failed...eventually you get to the point where you find something that slows it down.  That is the great think about science (and bad sex) even a failed experiment teaches you something.  

Redux
Redux
The upward curve of cases was greatly influenced by the testing numbers going from basically null to full gear.  I don't think we will see THAT many in 12 days.  I'd expect more like less than half that.  I hope much much less.

Toe
Toe
In case anyone didn't see, we now lead the world in confirmed infections.

JJ Husker
JJ Husker
....and our per capita testing still lags way behind most of the world.

Redux
Redux
Compared to smaller populations, sure.  That's expected.  It's not perfect. Far from it.  But it's getting there.

Toe
Toe
@Redux If only our population size were the actual problem...

NUance
NUance
I guess it all depends upon what percentage of our population gets infected.  And how quickly it happens.  But even in the rosiest of scenarios I'm thinking estimates under 50k are low.  I'll be surprised if fewer than 250,000 die from Covid-019.  Death rates are running somewhere around 0.5%.   Maybe higher.  If one sixth of the U.S. population gets infected that'd be 250k deaths.  I guess it could be fewer if the virus is slowed to the point where we're able to treat the weakest ones who are most vulnerable to the virus' symptoms.   

teachercd
teachercd
Slow start on the new totals today...could be a good sign?

Redux
Redux
@Toe .......population size isn't the problem, it's part if the equation.

JJ Husker
JJ Husker
That is why I said "per capita". It's really the only way to effectively compare our testing and thus our infected numbers to what has occured elsewhere in the world. Unfortunately we started too late and still aren't near the levels we should be. Makes it that much more difficult to ascertain where we're really at.

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