If we had the number of commits the next 15-20 teams ahead of us have and continued to bring in the same recruiting average per commit, we'd be top 20 easily.
I'm having a hard time seeing how the math works to allow a jump of that number of places, but i don't follow that closely.Think 15 is more likely then 25 - our average star numbers are good now / should have a solid season W-L ratio and the top guys will commit when they see the up tick in success.
Depending on how many a "couple" is, that will not get us in the Top 15.At one point, we were ranked 11th overall. After they redid the rankings and other teams added some solid recruits, we dropped. I'd say if we can continue to land the mid 3 stars and add a couple of the big fish we are after, we will get top 15.
To explain why I believe so, it's not an exact science and primarily glancing over Rivals system, the separation I see that would put us in top 20 is between 300-400 "points." Our average recruit is about 80-90 points. Before Thomas committed, we were in the 1200 range, we would jump the next 4-6 schools who have 14-16 commits if we have the same number of commits. Some in the top 25 are up into the 17-19 commit range, but only 300-400 points ahead of us. I certainly believe we would easily sit in top 25, with a solid chance at top 20, depending if we land higher rated prospects. What I didn't account for are the schools behind us who have even or less verbal commits who could leap us.I don't think this is true. Looking at 24/7, 13 of the 34 teams ahead of us have 15 or less commits, and by average star rating we're 24th. I don't know how to actually get a conclusion from those numbers though, math isn't my strong suit by a long shot.If we had the number of commits the next 15-20 teams ahead of us have and continued to bring in the same recruiting average per commit, we'd be top 20 easily.
All right thanks Mav! I say we take these positions for the remainder of the class:Right now I have us at 66 on-campus guys on scholarship who are eligible to return next year plus 13 commits. That would leave us with 6 open spots plus we can over-sign by 3 which would be 22 in this class. Could be a couple more if guys leave early between now and January.