2024 Election Prediction Thread

Waldo said:
Maybe don’t shove in a candidate who polled terribly in 2020 and has the personality of wall paper. 
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This is fair. I wasn't a fan of Harris during the 2020 primary. I don't think she has a particularly effective communication style. 

But I also think that the results are circumstantial. The Republican candidate was always going to win. 

 
RedDenver said:
The Dems continue to fail to learn the lesson that they need to run primaries even against incumbents. And that uncharismatic candidates almost always lose. Harris did better than I thought she would, but ultimately she's a bad presidential candidate because she has little to no personality.
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Explain what someone would have to do to show you they have a personality. Or….what politician has a great personality and how is it different from Harris?

 
teachercd said:
I agree with Red, but it is hard to explain exactly what "personality" is but you know it when you see it.
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I think this is like someone complaining that we lose because Nebraska's offense has no identity. Meanwhile, they can’t describe what that means. 
 

It’s a phrase that gets thrown out when someone really doesn’t have specifics to point out. 
 

So, did Trump have a much more likable personality?

 
BigRedBuster said:
I think this is like someone complaining that we lose because Nebraska's offense has no identity. Meanwhile, they can’t describe what that means. 
 

It’s a phrase that gets thrown out when someone really doesn’t have specifics to point out. 
 

So, did Trump have a much more likable personality?
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Trust me, I get what you are saying.  

It is just hard to explain.  It looks like Trump is going to win the popular vote too, which is amazing.

 
BigRedBuster said:
I think this is like someone complaining that we lose because Nebraska's offense has no identity. Meanwhile, they can’t describe what that means. 
 

It’s a phrase that gets thrown out when someone really doesn’t have specifics to point out. 
 

So, did Trump have a much more likable personality?
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Compared to Obama, for example, Harris lacked charisma. She has a strange, slow speaking style to add emphasis to points which isn't all that effective to a national audience.

Still, since this is a prediction thread, I will say that Trump is once again going to be massively unpopular. Because this election result had a lot more to do with inflation from a year ago than it does from the public liking Trump's policy, I would expect any Trump-y policy implementation to be universally hated. I'll be curious to see what Republicans choose to use their political capital on.

 
Kamala's "personality" is a distraction. If we're voting on personality, Orange Man Bad loses. 

This election showed that a majority of Americans think they prefer a dictator to a democracy. 

They have never lived under a dictator and have no idea what that will entail, but they're going to find out. 

 
knapplc said:
Kamala's "personality" is a distraction. If we're voting on personality, Orange Man Bad loses. 

This election showed that a majority of Americans think they prefer a dictator to a democracy. 

They have never lived under a dictator and have no idea what that will entail, but they're going to find out. 
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Imagine a world where she told the most popular podcast host that he could come to her. She knew she couldn’t talk to him for three hours because she is a dud and couldn’t read off the script due to having no persona. 
 

My Venezuelan partner, whose family and self supported Trump, would gladly laugh in your face at your dictator comment. If you want to talk to them about what that ‘entails,’ let me know. 

 
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