Bracketology

Will Nebrasketball Make the NCAA Tournament?

  • Total voters
    107
  • Poll closed .
Seaofred92 is on the same page as I am.  

Put it it out simply.  Any loss to close the year(and that has to be to best turd left on the schedule ie Maryland, means they MUST make the conference tourney final to be close and it’d be very close.  Two losses means they have to win it all.  And all this is is predicated on pretty much every conference holding chalk in their conference tourneys.  Any Cinderella teams kicks NU to the curb.

 
BigRedBuster said:
Looking at this bracket, I think he has us as a play-in game at the top.

One of the frustrations with Twitter is that you can't expand a picture on your computer.
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Who the hell is Nebrask? Let's sue.

Using the % ESPN gave for each game before the Iowa win, we have a 3% chance of finishing 6-0.

I kinda like using the old ones. Because each time we win a game they're going to increase our chances of winning the following games. More fun to see what our chances are according to how good ESPN thought we were last week.

 
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56th in RPI today. I don't see how Texas A&M, Michigan, and Marquette are so far ahead of us. That Kansas loss was major as I honestly wouldn't even be sweating if we beat them 

 
Moiraine said:
Who the hell is Nebrask? Let's sue.

Using the % ESPN gave for each game before the Iowa win, we have a 3% chance of finishing 6-0.

I kinda like using the old ones. Because each time we win a game they're going to increase our chances of winning the following games. More fun to see what our chances are according to how good ESPN thought we were last week.
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With the new percentages it is up to 4.4%.  Only game we are projected to lose is at Minnesota.

 
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BIG ERN said:
56th in RPI today. I don't see how Texas A&M, Michigan, and Marquette are so far ahead of us. That Kansas loss was major as I honestly wouldn't even be sweating if we beat them 
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When you break it down, its pretty easy to see.  They all have more wins vs top 50 and 51-100 teams.  And have no losses to 100+ teams.  We have also played way more 100+ teams, leading to a much lower SOS than them.

#36 A&M - 4-6 vs Top 50 / 3-2 vs 51-100 / 6-0 vs 100+ / #6 SOS

#37 Mich - 2-4 vs Top 50 / 3-2 vs 51-100 / 12-0 vs 100+ / #59 SOS

#47 Marq - 2-7 vs Top 50 / 3-1 vs 51-100 / 8-0 vs 100+ / #13 SOS

#57 Neb - 1-5 vs Top 50 / 1-1 vs 51-100 / 15-2 vs 100+ / #91 SOS

 
At this point, just win out and leave no doubt. Had they finished against Ohio State, they could afford a loss, but at this juncture, Al Davis it is. 

 
Red Five said:
When you break it down, its pretty easy to see.  They all have more wins vs top 50 and 51-100 teams.  And have no losses to 100+ teams.  We have also played way more 100+ teams, leading to a much lower SOS than them.

#36 A&M - 4-6 vs Top 50 / 3-2 vs 51-100 / 6-0 vs 100+ / #6 SOS

#37 Mich - 2-4 vs Top 50 / 3-2 vs 51-100 / 12-0 vs 100+ / #59 SOS

#47 Marq - 2-7 vs Top 50 / 3-1 vs 51-100 / 8-0 vs 100+ / #13 SOS

#57 Neb - 1-5 vs Top 50 / 1-1 vs 51-100 / 15-2 vs 100+ / #91 SOS
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If you bump it to 50 yes, but not if you actually beat a ranked team. Our best two players are transfers. That is why I think we are also seeing this team come together better late which matters more than early wins IMO. I get the schedule isn't tough, but we are a better team by far now than the first half of the season. 

#36 A&M - 0-4 vs Top 25 

#37 Mich - 1-4 vs Top 25 

#47 Marq - 1-6 vs Top 25 

 
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BIG ERN said:
If you bump it to 50 yes, but not if you actually beat a ranked team. 

#36 A&M - 0-4 vs Top 25 

#37 Mich - 1-4 vs Top 25 

#47 Marq - 1-6 vs Top 25 
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You can look at it that way, but it doesn't change anything in my post.  Our resume is inferior to those teams.

 
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