Bracketology

Will Nebrasketball Make the NCAA Tournament?

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http://www.rpiforecast.com/wizard/Nebraska.html

I found this link pretty interesting.  You can look at current RPI and play around with "what-if" scenarios.

For instance, if Nebraska wins their final 3 games, their RPI is predicted to be 46th.

I then did the same thing but had the wins over Marist, Delaware State, and Stetson dropped because those teams all have an RPI over 300.

Nebraska's RPI, with 3 less wins, would be 25th!

 
Cdog923 said:
Is your list showing USC as G? I might be reading it wrong, though. 
Click to expand...
Without spilling the beans for anyone else doing the exercise, no. I reorder and listed in order of my ranking without knowing who each was. My list isn't the list order in the tweet provided.

 
HS_Coach_C said:
http://www.rpiforecast.com/wizard/Nebraska.html

I found this link pretty interesting.  You can look at current RPI and play around with "what-if" scenarios.

For instance, if Nebraska wins their final 3 games, their RPI is predicted to be 46th.

I then did the same thing but had the wins over Marist, Delaware State, and Stetson dropped because those teams all have an RPI over 300.

Nebraska's RPI, with 3 less wins, would be 25th!
Click to expand...


This is pretty interesting.

The caveat is I'm sure it's also true - at least to some extent - if you drop the "worst wins" for other teams around us as well.

 
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/nebraska-cornhuskers/bracketology

Another site with some odds on making the tournament.

If NU gets 22 wins, the chance of making it is 42.0%.

If 23 wins, it goes up to 80.1%.

24 wins puts it up to 96.1%.

This basically is what many on here have been saying.  It obviously depends on who those wins are against, and it depends on other teams, but basically 3 more wins and Nebraska should feel pretty good, 4 more and I don't see how the committee keeps them out.

 
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