Bracketology

Will Nebrasketball Make the NCAA Tournament?

  • Total voters
    107
  • Poll closed .
ScottyIce said:
I was thinking maybe one would be virtually eliminated on Sunday.
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No that would be logical, that doesn't work for the selection committee.

Baylor may have done enough tonight to get in, so hopefully only one of Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas State get in.

I'm sick of the Big XII lovefest.

 
Two things I don't like about CBB:

  1. The regular season conference winners are the ones who should be auto qualifiers, especially for smaller schools/conferences 
  2. Every Big 6 should have 4 auto qualifiers and then take the rest for at large bids 

I would even be okay with getting rid of the conference tournament. Maybe even keep divisions like football and they play for the B10 title at the end. 

We won 22 games this year and lets say we beat Michigan and then lose to Mich St and get left out. Our then 23 wins and 14 conference wins meant nothing. We could have been 0-31 and made a run to win the B10 title game and got in. Never made sense to me 

 
BIG ERN said:
Two things I don't like about CBB:

  1. The regular season conference winners are the ones who should be auto qualifiers, especially for smaller schools/conferences 
  2. Every Big 6 should have 4 auto qualifiers and then take the rest for at large bids 

I would even be okay with getting rid of the conference tournament. Maybe even keep divisions like football and they play for the B10 title at the end. 

We won 22 games this year and lets say we beat Michigan and then lose to Mich St and get left out. Our then 23 wins and 14 conference wins meant nothing. We could have been 0-31 and made a run to win the B10 title game and got in. Never made sense to me 
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I agree with point #1; it's incredibly disingenuous to the spirit of the game for a smaller conference team to dominate their regular season, but not make the tournament if they don't win their conference tournament. Point #2 is pretty much already done; if you're in the top 4 of a Power Conference, you're almost guaranteed to make the tournament.....although this year could be the exception to the rule. 

 
Here is today's version of some numbers for at-large teams slotted as a 9-seed or lower in Lunardi's updated bracket today. 

The comments and projection are my opinions:

image.png

Miami & VA Tech move to locks, Boise drops off the bubble with a loss.

Our most likely hopes of teams dropping out: Texas, Alabama, Louisville, Loser of Baylor/Kansas State, Providence, USC

Teams that are the most danger of getting in over Nebraska: Syracuse, Washington, UCLA, Utah, Marquette

Rooting interests (in order of how much it would help Nebraska):

2/28

Boston College over Syracuse

Xavier over Providence

Clemson over Florida State

Pitt over Notre Dame   (not a big deal if Notre Dame wins)

Texas A&M over Georgia (not a big deal, but Georgia isn't too far off the bubble)

UCONN over Temple (Temple is still close to the Bubble according to some)

3/1

Michigan over Iowa/Illinois winner

Virginia over Louisville

Cal over Arizona State

Oregon State over Washington

Georgia Tech over NC State

Arkansas State over Louisiana (take away any chance of Louisiana getting an at-large bid)

3/2

NEBRASKA over Michigan/Iowa/Illinois winner (none of this matters if they don't win this game)

Iowa State over Oklahoma

If you think Nebraska needs another good win, then root Michigan State, if you want an easier path to the championship, root against them

3/3

NEBRASKA over Michigan State/Wisconsin/Maryland winner

West Virginia over Texas

St. John's over Providence

Stanford over Arizona State

LSU over Mississippi State

Texas A&M over Alabama

NC State over Louisville

Clemson over Syracuse

Virginia over Notre Dame

St. Louis over St. Bonaventure

Oregon over Washington

Colorado over Utah

Creighton over Marquette

Boston College over Florida State

Tennessee over Georgia

Kansas State over Baylor (I don't know if it matters which way this one goes, I just hope the loser gets bumped out)

3/4

NEBRASKA to win the Big Ten Championship Game

No low RPI teams to win their conference tournaments and steal at-large bids

View attachment 12855

 
Lunardi having Alabama as a 10 seed, #7 "safe team", and 9 spots ahead of Nebraska is laughable

They have lost their last 4 games by an average of 13 points (2 of those at home).  Yes, they were to the RPI ranked #16, 7, 27, and 45 teams, but at some point you have to win games.  Bama's RPi is 57 (Nebraska's is 59).

 
Red Five said:
Lunardi having Alabama as a 10 seed, #7 "safe team", and 9 spots ahead of Nebraska is laughable

They have lost their last 4 games by an average of 13 points (2 of those at home).  Yes, they were to the RPI ranked #16, 7, 27, and 45 teams, but at some point you have to win games.  Bama's RPi is 57 (Nebraska's is 59).
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I agree but people seen to favor a slightly above .500 team with 3 top 25 wins over a team with a great record who only has 1 top 25 win but wins the games that they should win.

 
huskerfan333157 said:
I agree but people seen to favor a slightly above .500 team with 3 top 25 wins over a team with a great record who only has 1 top 25 win but wins the games that they should win.
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Of the 22 teams I listed, Nebraska is 2nd (behind NC State) in Strength of Record, which is basically a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team's W-L record is to achieve given the schedule that they faced.  I think this should be a pretty big deal - we'll see if the committee thinks so.

 
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