Current players vs. Future Players - best Power Five offers

[Mavric]

I'd like someone with some actual experience with recruiting to tell me (us) if this is accurate. Found this on the interwebs today and I don't know what to believe.

Finally got home where I can look into this.

First of all, offers are about the least scientific way to compare players for a number of reasons.  First, there's no way to verify that player actually has an offer.  Second, they may have an "offer" but it's not actually a committable offer.  Third, players may or may not announce all their offers, especially if they commit early or are local kids.

Second, before even looking, this list is dripping with trying to force a narrative.  As you noted, why is there only one listed for current players but three for the Futures?  Second, are we judging based on how good a certain team is now or 3-4 years ago when these guys were being recruited.

Third, as you also noted, why is he including guys who may or may not ever enroll.

Fourth, why didn't he list all starting positions?  Why are Rahn and Reimers on the list but not Spielman and Lindsey?  No Newby at LB but Davis listed? Three corners but none of them is Jackson?  No Davis twins?  Does Missouri being their best offer mean the guys coming behind them are going to be better?

But here are a few of the Current players that I think he shorted, probably intentionally, either in who their offers were or by not listing them at all:

Morgan - Clemson, Ohio State, Florida

Lindsey - Ohio State, Alabama, Oklahoma

DPE - North Carolina, West Virginia, Wake Forest

JD Spielman - Michigan, Florida State, UCLA

Foster - Georgia, Iowa, UCLA

Farniok - Florida State, Michigan, Oklahoma

Knevel - Alabama, Wisconsin, West Virginia

Jaimes - TCU, Cal, Texas

Akinmoladun - Iowa, Arkansas, Missouri

Carlos Daivs - Missouri, North Carolina, Arizona State

Khalil Davis - Arizona State, Kansas State, Missouri

Newby - Oklahoma, Penn State, Virginia Tech

Young - Washington, UCLA, Arizona

Gifford - Iowa State

Jackson - Michigan, Oklahoma, USC

Aaron Williams - Mississippi, Mississippi State, Kansas State

 

[BigRedBuster]

And if they have that many more starts with the same number of years in the program, what does that tell you about whether or not they were starting in previous years - when they had less time in the program?

Well, to me, it's a spot light on why we were able to be competitive with them the last couple of years.  Them being better at developing the talent over that span of time, gave us the beat down we took from their O line in the second half this year.

 

[Mavric]

Well, to me, it's a spot light on why we were able to be competitive with them the last couple of years.  Them being better at developing the talent over that span of time, gave us the beat down we took from their O line in the second half this year.

Fair enough.

It also shows that they were able to be more successful than us - including beating us - while starting OLinemen younger than what we are currently starting.

So I don't see that the age or years in the program has much bearing on how successful you can be.