Why Gun Laws Won't Stop Shootings By Don B. Kates Jr.; Don B. Kates Jr. is a constitutional lawyer and criminologist. Published: February 4, 1989SAN FRANCISCO— Humane people react to the lack of ready solutions for tragedies like the Stockton, Calif., school massacre by crying out for gun control. I do not believe that gun bans can overcome the basic socio-economic and cultural factors that produce violence in America.
Americans assume that such laws have produced Europe's low rates of violence. But criminological studies find that these low rates long preceded the gun bans that supposedly caused them. Indeed, such laws were pioneered, unsuccessfully, by high-crime American states in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, when most of Europe had no gun laws.
It was only in the 1920's, when severe American gun laws were generally being abandoned as unworkable, that Europe was adopting them. However, European laws were aimed not at crime but at the political unrest of the post-World War I era.
Banning guns has not prevented modern Europe from suffering rates of political assassination, terrorism, etc., far exceeding those in the United States. Moreover, over the past 25 years even apolitical violence has risen more steeply in Europe than in America (although since Europe's crime rates started out far lower, its absolute rates remain lower).
What's especially ironic is that Switzerland consistently has had low violence, political and apolitical. Yet any law-abiding Swiss may own guns, and every male of military age must keep at home an assault rifle more powerful than that used in the Stockton massacre.
The point is not that arming citizens will eliminate crime. What the European evidence shows is that crime, being caused by socio-economic and cultural factors, can be at most marginally affected by gun policies.
England's foremost gun control analyst, Colin Greenwood, scoffs at claims that the availability of guns is a major cause of crime and that banning guns would reduce it.
Claiming that in any society the number of guns will always suffice to arm the violent aberrant, Mr. Greenwood sees rates of violence as varying with the relative size of a group: perhaps one in 300 Americans are violent, while the comparable figure for Japanese and Europeans may be one in 30,000.