Why Our Immigration Debate is Insane
There is no way our current system of laws and regulations regarding immigration can function.
It is broken and the only arguments being had are tantamount to rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic.
Let's consider the situation and what it would actually require to get to the end game that most anti-immigrant zealots want- specifically, no more undocumented immigrants present and zero unauthorized immigration.
The Current Situation
There are about 11.3 million undocumented immigrants in the USA right now - probably more than that, as many as 12.5 million.
1 2 The majority are present via having entered by legal means, and have overstayed their visa.
During 2017, ICE arrested 143 thousand people.
3 That's about one percent of all the undocumented immigrants in the country.
There's a backlog of more than 658 thousand immigration cases in the courts right now.
4 5 Some of these cases are not expected to be heard until 2022. Actual deportations under Trump are down, and arrests are up- so there is actually a detention space crisis.
Removal proceedings, even under expedited removal processes, can take weeks or months, requiring detention of the individual until that time.
It costs $164 a day to detain someone in ICE detention.
6 There were 41,005 people in detention as of March 4, 2017. That's six million dollars a day ($6,000,000.00) being spent to detain less than 0.03 percent of all undocumented immigrants.
If you're curious, the cost to detain all 11 million for one day, assuming you had both the ability to detain them all and the capacity for them, would be 1.8 billion dollars. Every day. 700 billion dollars a year, if you're even more curious.
Now, logistics
If you could somehow find a way to get all 11 million people into detention, then begin deporting them- say by rail, you'd have to put 1000 people on a ten-car train leaving the station every 45 minutes for a full year before you'd be done. Other methods of transportation (boat, plane, bus) would be similarly overwhelming in terms of sheer logistical needs.
Of course, that doesn't take into account things like investigation, paying people to detain, house, feed and care for these folks, providing for court proceedings and due process rights, appeals and the like. That costs quite a bit.
And of course this incredibly simple example assumes that 100% of all of them are going to the same country, which is willing and able to accept them- a completely ridiculous notion, but even
if it were true, it would
still be a practical impossibility.
We currently spend about 24
billion dollars a year on Customs and Border Patrol and Immigration and Customs Enforcement- out of about 70 billion for DHS overall.
7 As we've noted above, that's buying us 143 thousand people detained in 2017. Some quick cocktail napkin math shows that at the current ROI we're getting, we'd need to spend about
2.4 trillion dollars to get us there. That's assuming no economies of scale, etc, obviously. And it also includes no additional costs for things like feeding, housing and managing a prison population that
exceeds the entire current US prison population by a factor of four. But it does give one a good sense of the scope of the problem.
For reference, the US budget for 2015 was $3.8 trillion.
The End-Game
So! Back to it. If our desired goal is the removal of 11 million undocumented immigrants from our country, and having a bit more context on the size of that problem, and the costs associated with it...
It should be quite obvious that unless we're willing to quite literally bankrupt the country, there's no practical path forward to removing all the undocumented immigrants currently in the US.
Perhaps we should consider reality and objective facts as part of our approach to both immigration policy and enforcement of same- because right now, ideology is simply being used to manipulate you, and any policy options currently under consideration by our government are literally impossible to carry out- they serve no sane or rational purpose, being only ways to spend money and hurt people for no logical reason.