Locks of the Weak
- Thread starter teachercd
- Start date
admo
New member
Initially, I did not like any games this week and thought about skipping it. But then, I did a deep dive. Here's the fun stuff
11-5 season
Navy -9.5 at Air Force One
OVER 56 - SMU at Louisville
OVER 64 - Pittsburgh at North Carolina
Indiana -13.5 at Northwestern
Clemson -15 at Florida State
Navy vs Air Force:
Navy is averaging 47. Air Force is averaging 10.
Navy is 4-0 with a super stud QB. AF is 1-3 and having a sad season.I'm going with Navy.
And I hope they also beat Notre Dame this year - A game that has been played every year since 1927 (except for 2020 covid).
SMU vs Louisville:
SMU is 4-1 (we see you BYU) and averaging 42 a game.
Louisville is 3-1 (tough loss to ND) and averaging 47 a game.
Louisville is ranked #22, but no love yet for SMU (we see you BYU).
Defense might be optional. Keep scoring until the clock shows 00:00
Pitt vs UNC:
Pittsburgh is averaging 48.5 points per game, 7.9 ypp. UNC (3-2) is averaging 38 ppg.
Pitt is 4-0 and not even ranked. And just a 2.5 point favorite.
Why over 64? Besides the scoring stats just provided, how about the matchup/history of this game....
In 2023 - Over/Under....49.5.... Final score UNC 41 Pitt 24 (over wins)
In 2022 - Over/Under... 65.5.... Final score UNC 42 Pitt 24 (over wins)
in 2021 - Over/Under ....72.... Final score Pitt 30 UNC 25 (under wins)
In 2019 - Over/Under ... 49.... Final score Pitt 34 UNC 27 (over wins)
in 2018 - Over/Under ... 48.... Final score UNC 38 Pitt 35 (over wins)
in 2018 - Over/Under ... 50.... Final score UNC 34 Pitt 31 (over wins)
in 2017 - Over/Under .... 67.... Final score UNC 37 Pitt 36 (over wins)
Just look at that scoring.
Indiana vs Northwestern:
NW has won at home every time they play Indiana since 2000. That's right, in 2016, in 2011, in 2009, in 2007 and in 2003. However, the last time they played - 2019 - Indiana won 34-3.
What does that mean? Nothing. Because this year Indiana is averaging 50 ppg, 7.7 ypp, and NW is averaging 17 ppg.
13.5 point spread means "Can you build a 9 point lead at half time, and outscore them by 6 more in the second half?" I think yes, yes they should.
Clemson vs Florida State:
Clemson got bullied by Georgia to start the year and scored just 3 points. Since then, they have scored 66, 59, 40 in their last 3 games.
The writing is on the wall for Florida State. Do they quit in the first half, or wait until the early 3rd quarter?
FSU a terrible mess offensively, but the defense is starting to give up the fight as well - they just got torched by SMU 42-16. And nobody noticed.
Remember FSU last year and their swag? They even gave a shut out to Clemson 13-0. Does anyone remember that? Well Dabo does. And so does their QB Cade Klubnik. He is calling this a revenge tour.
Okay that's it for now. I'm kind of interested in these games now with a little bit of effort put into it. So we shall see.
11-5 season
Navy -9.5 at Air Force One
OVER 56 - SMU at Louisville
OVER 64 - Pittsburgh at North Carolina
Indiana -13.5 at Northwestern
Clemson -15 at Florida State
Navy vs Air Force:
Navy is averaging 47. Air Force is averaging 10.
Navy is 4-0 with a super stud QB. AF is 1-3 and having a sad season.I'm going with Navy.
And I hope they also beat Notre Dame this year - A game that has been played every year since 1927 (except for 2020 covid).
SMU vs Louisville:
SMU is 4-1 (we see you BYU) and averaging 42 a game.
Louisville is 3-1 (tough loss to ND) and averaging 47 a game.
Louisville is ranked #22, but no love yet for SMU (we see you BYU).
Defense might be optional. Keep scoring until the clock shows 00:00
Pitt vs UNC:
Pittsburgh is averaging 48.5 points per game, 7.9 ypp. UNC (3-2) is averaging 38 ppg.
Pitt is 4-0 and not even ranked. And just a 2.5 point favorite.
Why over 64? Besides the scoring stats just provided, how about the matchup/history of this game....
In 2023 - Over/Under....49.5.... Final score UNC 41 Pitt 24 (over wins)
In 2022 - Over/Under... 65.5.... Final score UNC 42 Pitt 24 (over wins)
in 2021 - Over/Under ....72.... Final score Pitt 30 UNC 25 (under wins)
In 2019 - Over/Under ... 49.... Final score Pitt 34 UNC 27 (over wins)
in 2018 - Over/Under ... 48.... Final score UNC 38 Pitt 35 (over wins)
in 2018 - Over/Under ... 50.... Final score UNC 34 Pitt 31 (over wins)
in 2017 - Over/Under .... 67.... Final score UNC 37 Pitt 36 (over wins)
Just look at that scoring.
Indiana vs Northwestern:
NW has won at home every time they play Indiana since 2000. That's right, in 2016, in 2011, in 2009, in 2007 and in 2003. However, the last time they played - 2019 - Indiana won 34-3.
What does that mean? Nothing. Because this year Indiana is averaging 50 ppg, 7.7 ypp, and NW is averaging 17 ppg.
13.5 point spread means "Can you build a 9 point lead at half time, and outscore them by 6 more in the second half?" I think yes, yes they should.
Clemson vs Florida State:
Clemson got bullied by Georgia to start the year and scored just 3 points. Since then, they have scored 66, 59, 40 in their last 3 games.
The writing is on the wall for Florida State. Do they quit in the first half, or wait until the early 3rd quarter?
FSU a terrible mess offensively, but the defense is starting to give up the fight as well - they just got torched by SMU 42-16. And nobody noticed.
Remember FSU last year and their swag? They even gave a shut out to Clemson 13-0. Does anyone remember that? Well Dabo does. And so does their QB Cade Klubnik. He is calling this a revenge tour.
Okay that's it for now. I'm kind of interested in these games now with a little bit of effort put into it. So we shall see.
Last edited by a moderator:
killer cacti
New member
Where did you find this? It was 31-24 in OT and Clemson should've won...but yeah, revenge is looming. I think Dabo still wants to blow them out for them pulling out of the game in 2020.
teachercd
Active member
Ugggg...I hate well thought out and researched betting info!!!
It makes me feel even worse about my picks!
admo
New member
Ha! Never listen to anyone's picks - which obviously includes me !!! - because nobody knows crap lol It's all crap to be honest chuckleshuffle
Personally I like a good scoring team with a good quarterback, and then roll the dice with it.
Because........
admo
New member
Multi-tasking typo. Maybe I was looking at FSU's 13-0 record that was on my brain
lol typo.... I changed it to -9.5
teachercd
Active member
admo
New member
JJ Husker
Donor
teachercd
Active member
11-7 on the year.
Here are some LOCKS
Wisconsin 1st Q +.5 at Rutgers
Mizzo -27.5 AT Umass (What??? Why is Mizzo playing at Umass...like I said to my prom date after she let me touch her cans..."have some respect for yourself")
Washington/Iowa over 42 (Washington will score 4 TD's alone)
Here are some LOCKS
Wisconsin 1st Q +.5 at Rutgers
Mizzo -27.5 AT Umass (What??? Why is Mizzo playing at Umass...like I said to my prom date after she let me touch her cans..."have some respect for yourself")
Washington/Iowa over 42 (Washington will score 4 TD's alone)