Nebraska is the most underacheiving team in the B1G

KJ.

KJ.

New member
And here are the statistics to prove it. A team's Pythagorean Record is what their record should be based on the number of runs they score and allow. It is a metric developed by Bill James, who was basically the founder of sabermetrics. It's fairly obvious that run differential is correlated to winning percentage, so it shouldn't come as any surprise that a solid relationship like this exists.

Anyway, this is how the B1G looks in terms of Pythagorean records:

Baseball PTH Records 4-8.jpg

The table includes the team's Pythagorean winning percentage (using an exponent of 2), as well as the team's expected record based on that percentage. From there, you can look at the last column and see how many wins a team is deviating from their expectation.

According to this, Nebraska should have 3.5 more wins than they do, which leads the conference. Also, Purdue has won 1.8 more wins than the numbers would expect.

What does this mean? Have we been unlucky so far this year? Or, is there a reason we're underacheiving? Are we "due" for a streak?

 
KJ. said:
And here are the statistics to prove it. A team's Pythagorean Record is what their record should be based on the number of runs they score and allow. It is a metric developed by Bill James, who was basically the founder of sabermetrics. It's fairly obvious that run differential is correlated to winning percentage, so it shouldn't come as any surprise that a solid relationship like this exists.

Anyway, this is how the B1G looks in terms of Pythagorean records:

View attachment 8004

The table includes the team's Pythagorean winning percentage (using an exponent of 2), as well as the team's expected record based on that percentage. From there, you can look at the last column and see how many wins a team is deviating from their expectation.

According to this, Nebraska should have 3.5 more wins than they do, which leads the conference. Also, Purdue has won 1.8 more wins than the numbers would expect.

What does this mean? Have we been unlucky so far this year? Or, is there a reason we're underacheiving? Are we "due" for a streak?
Click to expand...
INTERESTING..........

OR.........it could be as simple as the ancient dictum of Wee Willie Keeler.........................."Hit em where they ain't".............

 
Interesting. I wouldn't call it underachieving. I would call it inconsistency. I bet in our wins there's a big difference between RF & RA while in the loses they are much closer. Maybe that's a sign that we are on the cusp. I would also throw out some of the midweek games....

 
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