FrantzHardySwag
New member
They did say it would take days to compile all the votes, especially in the rust belt. People want the XYZ WON hot takes tonight, but we might not get an answer tonight...
***** Official Election Game Day Thread *****
- Thread starter Mierin
- Start date
Mierin
Donor
Ya. You said it's gonna come down to the blue wall which Clinton lost. I didn't think Arizona was part of that blue wall, since Obama lost Arizona. I was thinking Wisconsin and Michigan and that area.
ColoradoHusk
Donor
Pennsylvania is gonna take a while. Only 20% of Philly area had been counted yet.
Mavric
Yoda
ColoradoHusk
Donor
The way Phoenix is growing, along with the changing demographics there is a big reason why Biden could win AZ.
FrantzHardySwag
New member
Yeah we will probably have lawsuits and protesting. Should be a fun couple weeks.
Mierin
Donor
I said I wasn't gonna do the math but I was able to paste their table.
There are ~306k votes left in counties Biden is ahead in.
There are ~55k votes left in counties Trump is ahead in.
Trumps is ahead by ~43k votes.
I didn't get detailed enough to look at the leads though. Let's say Biden is up 60% to 40%. That's 61,200 votes. If Trump is ahead 60% to 40% in his counties, that's 11,000 votes. That's a 50,000 vote advantage for Biden. Now I am pulling the % out of my a$$... but to be 90% sure of a Trump victory right now seems weird.
There are ~306k votes left in counties Biden is ahead in.
There are ~55k votes left in counties Trump is ahead in.
Trumps is ahead by ~43k votes.
I didn't get detailed enough to look at the leads though. Let's say Biden is up 60% to 40%. That's 61,200 votes. If Trump is ahead 60% to 40% in his counties, that's 11,000 votes. That's a 50,000 vote advantage for Biden. Now I am pulling the % out of my a$$... but to be 90% sure of a Trump victory right now seems weird.
Mavric
Yoda
Am I correct in thinking that Trump pretty much has to win Florida, Pennsylvania and Michigan to have a chance?
That plus one out of North Carolina, Wisconsin or Arizona would be his best chance?
Lose any of those big three and he's done.
Winning Florida-Pennsylvania-Michigan and losing Wisconsin-North Carolina-Arizona (which would mean those three flipping from 2016) would make it 269-269. Wouldn't that be fun?
That plus one out of North Carolina, Wisconsin or Arizona would be his best chance?
Lose any of those big three and he's done.
Winning Florida-Pennsylvania-Michigan and losing Wisconsin-North Carolina-Arizona (which would mean those three flipping from 2016) would make it 269-269. Wouldn't that be fun?
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ColoradoHusk
Donor
The way that the news channels are looking at percentage of early vote in the current count is pretty cool, but it makes it so hard to project a state.
FrantzHardySwag
New member
schriznoeder
New member
[No message]
Mierin
Donor
Dunno... but I know without NC and AZ I saw that Biden could win with PA, MI, MN, WI, and NH and still win. If he loses PA he's likely in trouble. If Trump loses NC he's likely in trouble.
Ok I kinda hate myself for going to the trouble since the tally and % have probably changed a lot, but in North Carolina I calculated with the same % in each county, Biden could gain 74,000 more votes before they get to 100%.
The smart thing to do would trust NYT knows what they're talking about.
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Notre Dame Joe
New member
35 minutes in line in a very young and touristy district. They had a rule you cannot campaign 75 feet from the door. But with 6 feet between people that got used up very quickly. I met one city council candidate and she convinced me to split my ballot (opposes those ugly sky-rise condominium-marts)
My ignore list is called a "scroll bar" in fact my mouse has one built in.
My ignore list is called a "scroll bar" in fact my mouse has one built in.