***Official Mariners Misery Thread***

teachercd said:
They win so many close games...it seems like that flips as the season goes on.
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Yup, there is almost zero correlation with 1 run games and how good a team is.  The Mariners are definitely running way above expectation in that department.  Their run differential is also way, way, wayyyy below the other 3 teams in the AL.

https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/run-differential

Now, you could argue a little bit that the Ms play in the toughest division so their run differential should be lower (this excludes the Astros of course, who are built like the Death Star).  The Ms next stretch of games where they play the Orioles, Royals, Angels and then go to Colorado will tell me a lot.  They should, in theory beat up on those teams a bit (Baltimore and KC especially).  While I don't expect a +100 run differential like NYY, Boston and Houston if the Ms could get close to where Cleveland is which is in the +60 range, that would be pretty great.

With all that being said, sometimes the baseball gods simply deem one team to run way above expectation, the 2016 Rangers won 95 games and had a MINUS 4 run differential and the 2012 Orioles won 90+ games while having a +5 RD.  It appears (hopefully) the Ms are this years team.  The nice thing was as tough as this last stretch of games was, the Ms only dropped 1.5 games to the Angels in the WC standings.  This next month is absolutely massive for Seattle has they play the Angels 9 times.  If the Ms can rip off another 6-3 or better stretch, they can really bury LAA.  LAA also has a handful of games against the Dodgers who are butaning right now and the always tough Astros.   

 
I'm hard pressed to think of a team that has been this bad offensively since this year's Royals.  They haven't scored 5 or more runs in 19 straight games and have only scored 5+ runs, 5 times in the last month.  It's a shame because their starting pitching has seemed to get a fair bit better and it's going to waste.  Definitely has to be frustrating when the other team scores 3 runs and you know the chances are pretty high you're going to lose.

 
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I'd be pleasantly surprised if the Rangers traded Hamels within the division.  He'd be a great pickup for the stretch run as his contract is pretty friendly.  He's owed $20mm this year and has a $20mm team option next year or a $6mm buyout as there is zero chance he hits his vesting option.  The great thing is, because Hamels is 34 going on 35 he's going to command next to nothing for prospects  which is great for the Ms because they have wait for it....next to nothing in terms of prospects.  That being said, they do have cash to spend and they aren't going to hit the luxury tax threshold.

Some more fun reading about this can be found here...

https://www.lookoutlanding.com/2018/6/29/17519604/about-those-cole-hamels-to-the-mariners-rumors-trade-rumor-season-2018

 
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Happy to know that my 100+ votes counted toward something! The girlfriend definitely asked why I kept typing in those codes for to vote for about ten minutes while we were hanging out the other day lol 

Now we just need to close out the first half strong and fend off the surging A’s. Crazy how 5 AL teams are pacing 100 wins while there are zero NL teams at this point. 

 
Damn you SS for pushing up Paxton's start by one day.  Why!  Hope his injury isn't anything serious.  

Agree about the As, they put a thumping on the Astros.  Man...the AL West is a gosh darn rattlesnake pit.

 
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Ugh, this is just so gross.  Toronto stinks!  C'mon Ms, get it together.  Goodness gracious the offense outside of Nelson Cruz absolutely stinks right now.  Cano coming back will obviously help things but it's unfair to expect he's going to come in and immediately light it up.  The Ms have a critical 10 game road trip coming up at Texas' launching pad, Houston and Oakland.

 
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