This schedule isn't punishment for anything. It's the same schedule, minus Rutgers, that we had before lawsuits and Frost saying we'd explore all options.
Instead of having it back-loaded to finish with a bunch of tough games, they front-loaded it. Why? Likely to have as much of a chance to have top teams play early as possible, to get as much TV revenue as possible.
So now, if we can pull out a win against Wisconsin or Penn State, and just play like we should against Northwestern, we have a solid shot at coming out of the first half 2-2. And from there, we could win any of our games against Minnesota, Iowa, Purdue and Illinois.
6-2 is unlikely, but possible.
5-3 is very possible.
4-4 is pretty likely, and would be fine against this schedule.