The TDS Callout Thread

Redux said:
I don't think people could have predicted a worldwide pandemic would hit exactly gow it has exactly when it did and to this extent.  All those hit pieces you're claiming are proof that people did in fact correctly predict this, yeah I'm sure they sound f#&%ing Brilliant in Hindsight.  By all means, send em my way, I'll take a gander.  I don't read 90% of the s#!t some people post and I certainly don't read ANY of the s#!t a couple certain posters scream about.

Now, before I say anything nasty, I'll allow you to forward whatever you think you need to.
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It's the same s#!t that was posted in those threads that you refuse to read...

Here's the best source, straight from the exercise in October of last year...

http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/recommendations.html

Do all these suggestions and bottlenecks sound familiar? People understood exactly what our limitations would be and nothing was done to change them.

 
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I'm seriously shaking my head.  I've only just begun reading it and it's worded like an insurance pamphlet.  Here's the thing, I've walked past a roulette table and thought, 22.  And about once every 20 times I do that, it's 22.

I'll finish it, but seriously, so far this didn't predict s#!t that literally most people would say if asked what would happen if a pandemic happened.  So no, I don't feel like a dumbass.  Not yet, I'll get back to ya but it doesn't look likely.

 
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Redux you might be interested in this as well. Some perspective for all of us.

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/03/14/814121891/why-even-a-huge-medical-stockpile-will-be-of-limited-use-against-covid-19 

Over time, the mission of the stockpile has expanded to include preparations for pandemic influenza and threats such as hurricanes and earthquakes. It has anti-flu drugs, generic medical supplies like gloves and needles and even quick-to-assemble medical centers complete with beds.

The stockpile can fill gaps in supply chains or respond to sudden surges in demand caused by emergencies, says O'Toole, but "it is not big enough and it can never be big enough to replace the supply chains."

"It's a bridge," she says. "It's not a replacement for the private sector." That means there could still be shortages of critical items, as it would take time for manufacturers to ramp up production.
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Redux said:
I'm seriously shaking my head.  I've only just begun reading it and it's worded like an insurance pamphlet.  Here's the thing, I've walked past a roulette table and thought, 22.  And about once every 20 times I do that, it's 22.
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I don't understand. Are you saying scientists making these predictions need to know to the exact # how many would die when and where, how fast, etc? I've seen you make a few posts like this where you talk like they needed to know what was going to happen down to the last, minute detail. That isn't what @ZRod and others are claiming when they say this was predicted. That's not how it works even when we're talking about trillion $ businesses who employ statisticians. The statisticians aren't expected to predict things to the exact $. I know this because I haven't been fired yet. You make a prediction and then you implement a strategy, either to make the good thing happen, to prevent the bad thing from from happening, or whatever. The prediction is to give a good idea of the possible outcomes. With the predictions about pandemic scenarios, you would go through all the potential scenarios and do a cost benefit analysis on preparing for the worst, 2nd worst, etc. It seems like we prepared for it to not happen at all. It isn't about predicting that exactly 634 people would die on the 12th day of the pandemic. It's about having a plan ready based on the possible scenarios that the scientists have modeled.

Also, roulette is a terrible example. That's just random chance. That's not what these scientists are doing when they model this stuff.

 
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No, what I meant the other day when I said "nobody could have predicted this" I meant nobody could have predicted the severity, when it broke and the reach it would have.  But people are saying that this article above was somehow just that when really it's just a reminder that bad stuff could happen and we should prepare for it.

Trump fired the response team in 2018.  Actually he fired one person and the others eventually left from how I understood it.  Personally I think it it was laziness why he didn't replace them but whatever.  I don't know if a bunch of suits would have made things any better, but at least we would have someone to point a finger at.

As far as predicting a Covid 19 like pandemic, well frankly it's a pretty generic affliction ramped up.  Flu like symptoms, labored breathing, cough and fever.  That sounds like how many other afflictions?

 
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It is pretty classic when a TDS'er has a meltdown and all of a sudden has nothing to say in this thread...

Is it like...they know they have it?

 
teachercd said:
It is pretty classic when a TDS'er has a meltdown and all of a sudden has nothing to say in this thread...

Is it like...they know they have it?
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They do, but admitting that would be admitting that the last 3yrs obsessing have been a bit much.

What did I miss?

 
"Voting 3rd party is a vote for Trump!" - TDS battle cry in 2020

"Voting 3rd party is a vote for Obama!" - Righty nuts in 2008

"Voting 3rd party is a vote for Trump/Hillary!" - all the loons in 2016

 
Redux said:
"Voting 3rd party is a vote for Trump!" - TDS battle cry in 2020

"Voting 3rd party is a vote for Obama!" - Righty nuts in 2008

"Voting 3rd party is a vote for Trump/Hillary!" - all the loons in 2016
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In the current system it basically is. Protest votes and such are what got us Trump and Brexit and the buyers remorse that goes with it.

 
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