I'd move us to 7-5 right now after having time to think it over and let the emotions cool. I was at 8-4 before the Illinois game, which I thought we'd win, so this stands to reason. I'd say the losses would be to Indiana, Ohio State, USC, and Iowa.
Purdue might be one of the worst FBS teams in the country. W
Rutgers was looking impressive at first against a bad VT team, but they let them back in. Not saying that game is a lock for us. But I still favor us with it at home. W
Indiana is better than us and its away, so I feel comfortable about it being a loss. It's not on the level of Ohio State or USC, but I do not see us winning. L
Ohio State we knew would be a loss since they were placed on our schedule. L
UCLA showed some fight against LSU. That said, I think it was more LSU resting on its laurels. Coupled with that we have UCLA at home, I feel we win. W
USC has more weaknesses than Ohio State. But they still far outclass us. L
Wisconsin looks like a shell of itself. Coupled with the fact its at home, I'd even say I feel highly confident on it if it wasn't for our abysmal history against them. W
Iowa you never know. The game will be close. But whereas we struggle with discipline, they are a team that knows how to put games away. Until we figure that out, I have to think we lose this one. L
Our ceiling would be 9-3: Losses to Ohio State and USC, win the rest. I think we'd all be very impressed if that was our final record. But this feels like a reach with Indiana.
I think 8-4 is still plausible, winning one of Indiana or Iowa. 8-4 would still be great I'd think.
7-5 as I said is my bet.
6-6 would not surprise me. Would still be a step in the right direction. But obviously feels like the bowl game would need to be a must win.
5-7 and below would be a severe disappointment.