Who should our next HC be?

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My understanding is he gets around $8.85 million per year from the Panthers (7 year, $62M contract). He already got that for year 1 and 2 when he was coaching and he'll get it from them for the rest of this season. So, the Panthers are out around $26.55M of the $62M no matter what. But he's still owed the rest of the contract no matter what, so roughly $35.45M. After this year, whatever his new deal is with his new team will go against the balance. So essentially, he's getting paid $8.85 per year for the next 4 years no matter what. The only question is where it comes from. If we hired him and pay him $7M per year, the Panthers pay him the other $1.85M for the next 4 years. If we hired him and pay him $9M, the Panthers are off the hook. The Panthers really want him to return to coaching a demand a really high price tag.
That sounds pretty accurate. 

 
I hope coach X is not Maryland's Locksley.  I heard that over 4 weeks ago and posted as such.  Campbell was the "guy" late last season and it appeared we may have had a soft verbal- but stayed with SF.  What makes me nervous is how quiet it is down there from my sources (they are not the ones that said Locksley) and I have been told we already have our person- and blessed by Mickey.  Time will tell and we will see.  Either way- everyone says trust Trev and the decision he makes.
I actually wouldn't hate Locksley if he gets a good staff. He wouldn't be my first choice, but he can put up points on offense and man can he recruit.

If it is someone locked in already I think the two choices that are realistic for us to land this early and that would be home runs for me are Whittingham and Malzahn. 

 
I don't think it really matters because whatever that number is, he's getting it either way.
I’d doubt that we’re going to shell out $10M for Rhule to start. There’s added value with hiring him as opposed to other options. 
 

We aren’t paying a buyout. We’d potentially be gaining $3-4M a year that could be used toward assistants. Initially. Or, $12-16M over the course of four years. With respect to what he’s owed from the Carolina Panthers.
 

Instead of cost, it’s a hidden asset. Carolina is essentially helping bolster our assistant budget or, offsetting the cost of Frost’s dismissal.

I don’t think we’re hiring under $6M and I doubt it’s much over $8M maximum. 

 
FBS+NFL winning percentages of various coaches in ascending order of coaches in the rumor mill with several added by me:

Matt Rhule - 45.3%

Lance Leipold - 50%

Dave Clawson - 52.4%

Bill O'Brien - 53.1%

Mark Stoops - 53.4%

Hugh Freeze - 57.6%

Dave Aranda - 58.6%

Matt Campbell - 60.6%

Lane Kiffen - 60.8%

Bronco Mendenhall - 62.5%

Dan Mullen - 62.8%

Dave Doeren - 63%

Clay Helton - 64.5%

Jamie Chadwell - 65.5%

David Shaw - 65.7%

Kyle Whittingham - 67.1%

Gus Malzahn - 67.9%

Luke Fickell - 72%

Chris Petersen - 79.5%

Urban Meyer - 81.5%

It's inexcusable for Trev not to be courting Meyer/Petersen, with Fickell as the 3rd option.  The fact that he's obsessed with sub 60 coaches makes me assume Trev is Eichorst in an Alberts mask.  I won't believe anything else until proven wrong by Trev and only Trev.

 
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FBS+NFL winning percentages of various coaches in ascending order of coaches in the rumor mill with several added by me:

Matt Rhule - 45.3%

Lance Leipold - 50%

Dave Clawson - 52.4%

Bill O'Brien - 53.1%

Mark Stoops - 53.4%

Hugh Freeze - 57.6%

Dave Aranda - 58.6%

Matt Campbell - 60.6%

Lane Kiffen - 60.8%

Bronco Mendenhall - 62.5%

Dan Mullen - 62.8%

Dave Doeren - 63%

Clay Helton - 64.5%

Jamie Chadwell - 65.5%

David Shaw - 65.7%

Kyle Whittingham - 67.1%

Gus Malzahn - 67.9%

Luke Fickell - 72%

Chris Petersen - 79.5%

Urban Meyer - 81.5%

It's inexcusable for Trev not to be courting Meyer/Petersen, with Fickell as the 3rd option.  The fact that he's obsessed with sub 60 coaches makes me assume Trev is Eichorst in an Alberts mask.  I won't believe anything else until proven wrong by Trev and only Trev.
I agree with your assessment on the coaches, but what makes you think hes only looking at the sub 60s

 
I’d doubt that we’re going to shell out $10M for Rhule to start. There’s added value with hiring him as opposed to other options. 
 

We aren’t paying a buyout. We’d potentially be gaining $3-4M a year that could be used toward assistants. Initially. Or, $12-16M over the course of four years. With respect to what he’s owed from the Carolina Panthers.
 

Instead of cost, it’s a hidden asset. Carolina is essentially helping bolster our assistant budget or, offsetting the cost of Frost’s dismissal.

I don’t think we’re hiring under $6M and I doubt it’s much over $8M maximum. 


Good point. Funny...my top 3 choices have (essentially) no buyout. And I'm in the "we need to spend whatever it takes to get the right guy" camp. My top 3 choices are also all already set for life financially, so, there's that.

 
FBS+NFL winning percentages of various coaches in ascending order of coaches in the rumor mill with several added by me:

Matt Rhule - 45.3%

Lance Leipold - 50%

Dave Clawson - 52.4%

Bill O'Brien - 53.1%

Mark Stoops - 53.4%

Hugh Freeze - 57.6%

Dave Aranda - 58.6%

Matt Campbell - 60.6%

Lane Kiffen - 60.8%

Bronco Mendenhall - 62.5%

Dan Mullen - 62.8%

Dave Doeren - 63%

Clay Helton - 64.5%

Jamie Chadwell - 65.5%

David Shaw - 65.7%

Kyle Whittingham - 67.1%

Gus Malzahn - 67.9%

Luke Fickell - 72%

Chris Petersen - 79.5%

Urban Meyer - 81.5%

It's inexcusable for Trev not to be courting Meyer/Petersen, with Fickell as the 3rd option.  The fact that he's obsessed with sub 60 coaches makes me assume Trev is Eichorst in an Alberts mask.  I won't believe anything else until proven wrong by Trev and only Trev.
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