Tangent Thread - P&R Edition

B.B. Hemingway said:
He'll be back in 2024, if I had to guess (if he's in good health).
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It's quite possible he'll be in jail, or still in the midst of multi-pronged legal cases against him.  Assuming a couple Azerbaijanians haven't broken his legs or made him disappear. 

This might hurt his numbers a little, but I think the base would still go for it. 

 
Enhance said:
I wonder if I'm being too much of an optimist to question whether or not he'll receive enough support to be the Republican nominee. Will GOP officials want to commit to someone that is only guaranteed four years in office? Will enough voters still be invested in him? Will there be confidence that he could bring back the swing voters he lost in the 2020 election? All of those feel like a 'soft no' right now.
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They sold their soul to him already, and Trump isn't going anywhere, as far as being in the public eye. I think he'll campaign for 4 years, rallies and all.

knapplc said:
He'll be 78 years old in four years. With his health issues, I don't think he'll be a viable candidate.

I feel like neither trump nor Biden were likely to survive the next four years. These are very old men.
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You could be right, but Trump seems to get around very well, and has a lot of energy for his age, and doesn't seem to show any cognitive decline. Obviously, at his age those things can change quickly (especially at his weight).

 
B.B. Hemingway said:
They sold their soul to him already, and Trump isn't going anywhere, as far as being in the public eye. I think he'll campaign for 4 years, rallies and all.
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You're definitely not wrong with the bolded, but I guess I have a hard time visualizing the appeal:

- He'll be 78 and he's objectively unhealthy (admittedly eats like s#!t, doesn't exercise consistently, technically obese)

- He exhausted GOP officials with his behavior

- Policy-wise, and by most objective measures, he was an average to below average president. He didn't do well.

- Voters already decided he didn't do a good enough job in his first term to be re-elected to a second

- He'd be a guaranteed lame duck president

And then, anecdotally, I think he's mentally unstable.

I would not at all be surprised if he chose to run again, but I think he over-estimates the overall support he thinks he has. Trumpists are crazy and there are a lot of them, but Trump wore down and lost the very people who he actually needed to win an election. I don't see that group being overtly interested in him in four years.

 
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commando said:
yeah...i don't see an 78-82 year old Donald the Hutt as president
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Thanks. Now I wanna watch Space Balls

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